Indiana St 71, N Illinois 76
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at NIU Convocation Center. Indiana St our rank 234 · 1-3; N Illinois our rank 278 · 1-2.
Who won Indiana St vs N Illinois?
Final: Northern Illinois 76, Indiana State 71. Before tip-off the model gave Northern Illinois a 70% chance to win, with a projected margin of 7.3 points for Northern Illinois. Leah Middleton scored 22 for N Illinois; Saroiya Ajomale had 17 for Indiana St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Indiana St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
N Illinois
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Indiana St | N Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 89.9 179th | 84.3 268th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.2 316th | 99.3 288th |
| Possessions a game | 76.1 8th | 71.6 219th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.0% 280th | 45.0% 206th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.9% 341st | 45.6% 180th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.2% 78th | 24.0% 220th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.4% 63rd | 31.9% 228th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 102nd | 0.22 147th |
The widest gap: Indiana St's offense (179th) against N Illinois's defense (288th), of 363 teams.
First half
N Illinois led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.8 points and the total by 4.4.
- At halftime
- Indiana St 33, N Illinois 40
- Projected halftime score
- Indiana St 37, N Illinois 41
- First-half margin
- N Illinois by 4.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 77.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Indiana St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah YoungbloodG | 32 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Eanae DagonsG | 31 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Jayci AllenG | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Saroiya AjomaleF | 26 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Amerie FlowersF | 20 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Natalia WilliamsG | 19 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Ashley SinghatehG | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Kristen McMillanF | 15 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Karsen MarshallG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie SorensenG | 37 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Leah MiddletonG | 34 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Laniah DavisG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Nevaeh WingateF | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Ashlynn BrookeG | 22 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Alecia DoyleG | 21 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sa'Mahn JohnsonG | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Anna StrombergF | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Cyra ConwellG | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |