Wright St at Indiana St
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Hulman Center. Wright St our rank 249 · 1-2; Indiana St our rank 234 · 1-3.
Who will win Wright St vs Indiana St?
The model gives Indiana State a 70% chance to beat Wright State, with a projected score of Indiana St 78, Wright St 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SinghatehG · 30 min | 12.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 10+ 64% | |
| AjomaleF · 20 min | 11.0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 10+ 56% | |
| YoungbloodG · 26 min | 10.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 10+ 55% | |
| McMillanF · 20 min | 9.9 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 10+ 48% | |
| TerryG · 27 min | 13.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 15+ 42% | |
| SagesterG · 33 min | 13.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 15+ 38% | |
| DanielsF · 24 min | 10.4 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 51% | |
| DilenG · 27 min | 8.3 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 10+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jayden Terry: Wright St 28%Indiana St 72%
The white mark is the call with her: Indiana St 70%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Indiana St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Terry | 0.8 | 72% | +2 | 71–78 |
Change is in Indiana St's win chance, in points. Scores read Wright St, then Indiana St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Wright St 1-2LWL
- Nov 8L 52-109at Michigan
- Nov 6W 103-25vs Ohio Christian
- Nov 3L 71-73at Loyola Chicago
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 75.3 and allowing 69.0
Indiana St 1-3LLLW
- Nov 10W 86-74vs IU Indy
- Nov 8L 76-107at Rutgers
- Nov 6L 56-74at Seton Hall
- Nov 2L 71-76at N Illinois
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 72.2 and allowing 82.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wright St | Indiana St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 89.1 192nd | 89.9 179th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.4 317th | 101.2 316th |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 164th | 76.1 8th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.7% 109th | 44.0% 280th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.8% 338th | 48.9% 341st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.9% 280th | 22.2% 78th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 283rd | 35.4% 63rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 10th | 0.22 102nd |
The widest gap: Indiana St's offense (179th) against Wright St's defense (317th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Wright St 33, Indiana St 37
- First-half margin
- Indiana St by 3.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.8
- Projected second half
- Wright St 38, Indiana St 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Wright St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 34.7 allowed
- Indiana St, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 31.8 scored, 43.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Wright St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylee SagesterG | 33 | 13.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 2+ ast 56% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Olivia BrownG | 31 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 48% · 5+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jayden TerryG | 27 | 13.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Maja DilenG | 27 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Allie DanielsF | 24 | 10.4 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Grace OkihF | 21 | 8.2 | 6.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 50% | |||||
| Megan CampbellG | 18 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Sydney WilliamsG | 17 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
Missed the last game: Megan Campbell (22 min a game) and Elaina Rager (16 min a game).
Indiana St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley SinghatehG | 30 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Aaliyah YoungbloodG | 26 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Karsen MarshallG | 21 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Jayci AllenG | 20 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Kristen McMillanF | 20 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Saroiya AjomaleF | 20 | 11.0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Amerie FlowersF | 17 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 52% | |||||
| Natalia WilliamsG | 16 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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