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Wright St at Indiana St

Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Hulman Center. Wright St our rank 249 · 1-2; Indiana St our rank 234 · 1-3.

Who will win Wright St vs Indiana St?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives Indiana State a 70% chance to beat Wright State, with a projected score of Indiana St 78, Wright St 71.

To winIndiana St 70%Wright St 30%
Projected score71–78Wright St, then Indiana St
Margin6.7Indiana St · no line posted
Total149.3no line posted
First half33–37Indiana St ahead 64%
Wright St by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Indiana St by 40Model: Indiana St by 6.7Wright St by 20Evenby 20Indiana St by 40Model: Indiana St by 6.7

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Indiana St
SinghatehG · 30 min12.34.53.910+ 64%
AjomaleF · 20 min11.04.71.010+ 56%
YoungbloodG · 26 min10.93.92.110+ 55%
McMillanF · 20 min9.95.70.610+ 48%
Wright St
TerryG · 27 min13.83.71.715+ 42%
SagesterG · 33 min13.22.52.015+ 38%
DanielsF · 24 min10.45.30.910+ 51%
DilenG · 27 min8.34.51.910+ 36%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Jayden Terry: Wright St 28%Indiana St 72%

The white mark is the call with her: Indiana St 70%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsIndiana St without herChangeProjected score
Wright St
Jayden Terry0.872%+271–78

Change is in Indiana St's win chance, in points. Scores read Wright St, then Indiana St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Wright St 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 8L 52-109at Michigan
    2. Nov 6W 103-25vs Ohio Christian
    3. Nov 3L 71-73at Loyola Chicago
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 75.3 and allowing 69.0

    Indiana St 1-3LLLW

    1. Nov 10W 86-74vs IU Indy
    2. Nov 8L 76-107at Rutgers
    3. Nov 6L 56-74at Seton Hall
    4. Nov 2L 71-76at N Illinois
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 72.2 and allowing 82.8

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Wright StIndiana St
    Points scored per 100 possessions89.1 192nd89.9 179th
    Points allowed per 100101.4 317th101.2 316th
    Possessions a game72.1 164th76.1 8th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)46.7% 109th44.0% 280th
    Opponents' shooting48.8% 338th48.9% 341st
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.9% 280th22.2% 78th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.9% 283rd35.4% 63rd
    Free throws per shot0.26 10th0.22 102nd

    The widest gap: Indiana St's offense (179th) against Wright St's defense (317th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Wright St 33, Indiana St 37
    First-half margin
    Indiana St by 3.9
    First-half points, both teams
    70.8
    Projected second half
    Wright St 38, Indiana St 41
    Second-half points, both teams
    78.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Wright St, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 34.7 allowed
    Indiana St, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 4 · 31.8 scored, 43.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Wright St

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Rylee SagesterG3313.22.52.02.0
    15+ pts 38% · 2+ ast 56% · 2+ threes 53%
    Olivia BrownG315.94.75.20.4
    5+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 48% · 5+ ast 57%
    Jayden TerryG2713.83.71.70.6
    15+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 49%
    Maja DilenG278.34.51.90.5
    10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 53%
    Allie DanielsF2410.45.30.90.6
    10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 43%
    Grace OkihF218.26.80.40.0
    10+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 50%
    Megan CampbellG186.72.61.61.2
    50% to play · 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 45%
    Sydney WilliamsG174.62.21.01.0
    5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 59%

    Missed the last game: Megan Campbell (22 min a game) and Elaina Rager (16 min a game).

    Indiana St

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Ashley SinghatehG3012.34.53.90.9
    10+ pts 64% · 4+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 53%
    Aaliyah YoungbloodG2610.93.92.10.9
    10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 55%
    Karsen MarshallG217.92.81.31.5
    10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 41%
    Jayci AllenG205.62.90.41.3
    5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 35%
    Kristen McMillanF209.95.70.60.3
    10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 27%
    Saroiya AjomaleF2011.04.71.00.8
    10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 52%
    Amerie FlowersF179.07.00.30.0
    10+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 52%
    Natalia WilliamsG167.52.71.40.3
    5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 40%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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