SIUE at N Illinois
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at NIU Convocation Center. SIUE our rank 233 · 3-1; N Illinois our rank 278 · 1-2.
Who will win SIUE vs N Illinois?
The model gives Northern Illinois a 52% chance to beat SIU Edwardsville, with a projected score of N Illinois 65, SIUE 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Illinois | |||||
| MiddletonG · 31 min | 10.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 10+ 51% | |
| WingateF · 22 min | 8.9 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 10+ 40% | |
| DoyleG · 23 min | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10+ 38% | |
| JohnsonG · 20 min | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 32% | |
| SIUE | |||||
| ProctorG · 31 min | 15.9 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 15+ 54% | |
| RobinsonF · 20 min | 11.5 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 10+ 59% | |
| McClintonF · 15 min | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 5+ 63% | |
| GugliuzzaG · 31 min | 5.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 5+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kiyoko Proctor: SIUE 44%N Illinois 56%
The white mark is the call with her: N Illinois 52%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | N Illinois without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIUE | ||||
| Kiyoko Proctor | 1.0 | 56% | +4 | 64–65 |
Change is in N Illinois's win chance, in points. Scores read SIUE, then N Illinois. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SIUE 3-1WLWW
- Nov 12W 85-58vs Central Methodist
- Nov 8W 63-57vs Milwaukee
- Nov 5L 69-70at IU Indy
- Nov 3W 95-48vs Judson
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 78.0 and allowing 58.2
N Illinois 1-2WLL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 65.0 and allowing 75.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SIUE | N Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.7 237th | 84.3 268th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.9 253rd | 99.3 288th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 272nd | 71.6 219th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.8% 222nd | 45.0% 206th |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.7% 71st | 45.6% 180th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.0% 61st | 24.0% 220th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 328th | 31.9% 228th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 146th | 0.22 147th |
The widest gap: SIUE's offense (237th) against N Illinois's defense (288th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SIUE 30, N Illinois 31
- First-half margin
- N Illinois by 0.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.2
- Projected second half
- SIUE 34, N Illinois 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SIUE, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 36.5 scored, 28.5 allowed
- N Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.7 scored, 33.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SIUE
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyoko ProctorG | 31 | 15.9 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Ava GugliuzzaG | 31 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Adriana BlazquezF | 28 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Tyra RobinsonF | 20 | 11.5 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Giselle DoganG | 20 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Rory ConboyF | 16 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 3+ reb 58% | |||||
| Kaitlin CassidyF | 16 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Jayla McClintonF | 15 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 56% | |||||
N Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah MiddletonG | 31 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Emilie SorensenG | 27 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Alecia DoyleG | 23 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Nevaeh WingateF | 22 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Laniah DavisG | 20 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Sa'Mahn JohnsonG | 20 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Ashlynn BrookeG | 18 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ ast 37% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Anna StrombergF | 13 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 4+ reb 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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