Valparaiso at SIUE
Women's · Sunday, November 22, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at First Community Arena. Valparaiso our rank 326 · 1-2; SIUE our rank 233 · 3-1.
Who will win Valparaiso vs SIUE?
The model gives SIU Edwardsville a 83% chance to beat Valparaiso, with a projected score of SIUE 71, Valparaiso 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIUE | |||||
| ProctorG · 30 min | 16.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 15+ 58% | |
| RobinsonF · 20 min | 12.4 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 10+ 65% | |
| McClintonF · 15 min | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 5+ 69% | |
| GugliuzzaG · 30 min | 5.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 5+ 56% | |
| Valparaiso | |||||
| von SchlegellG · 27 min | 9.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 10+ 45% | |
| AllenF · 21 min | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 5+ 69% | |
| NoguésG · 24 min | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5+ 64% | |
| Igbinedion OmoruyiC · 20 min | 6.8 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kiyoko Proctor: Valparaiso 19%SIUE 81%
The white mark is the call with her: SIUE 83%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | SIUE without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIUE | ||||
| Kiyoko Proctor | 1.0 | 81% | −2 | 60–71 |
Change is in SIUE's win chance, in points. Scores read Valparaiso, then SIUE. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Valparaiso 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 89-47vs Culver Stockton
- Nov 7L 63-67vs Detroit Mercy
- Nov 3L 44-98at Michigan St
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 65.3 and allowing 70.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Valparaiso | SIUE | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.3 331st | 86.7 237th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.0 279th | 97.9 253rd |
| Possessions a game | 74.8 16th | 71.1 272nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.5% 329th | 44.8% 222nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.1% 275th | 43.7% 71st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.3% 293rd | 22.0% 61st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.0% 280th | 29.6% 328th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 338th | 0.22 146th |
The widest gap: SIUE's defense (253rd) against Valparaiso's offense (331st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Valparaiso 28, SIUE 34
- First-half margin
- SIUE by 6.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.8
- Projected second half
- Valparaiso 32, SIUE 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Valparaiso, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 27.0 scored, 31.7 allowed
- SIUE, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 36.5 scored, 28.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Valparaiso
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allia von SchlegellG | 27 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ ast 40% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Maci RhoadesG | 25 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Jana NoguésG | 24 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Denza AllenF | 21 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Osadebamwen Igbinedion OmoruyiC | 20 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 46% | |||||
| Dani GuedetG | 18 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Maddie VejsickyG | 18 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Constanza AravenaG | 16 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
SIUE
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyoko ProctorG | 30 | 16.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 58% · 4+ ast 45% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ava GugliuzzaG | 30 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Adriana BlazquezF | 27 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Tyra RobinsonF | 20 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Giselle DoganG | 20 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Rory ConboyF | 17 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Kaitlin CassidyF | 16 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Jayla McClintonF | 15 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 44% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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