Who won IU Indy vs Purdue?
Final: Purdue 81, IU Indianapolis 73. Before tip-off the model gave Purdue a 93% chance to win, with a projected margin of 20.1 points for Purdue. Kyndall Hunter scored 21 for Purdue; Olivia Smith had 16 for IU Indy.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Hannah Wickstrom: IU Indy 12%Purdue 88%
The white mark is the call with her: Purdue 93%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Purdue without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Purdue | ||||
| Hannah Wickstrom | 3.6 | 88% | −5 | 73–90 |
| Avery Gordon | 2.0 | 91% | −2 | 73–91 |
| Averi Aaron | 1.2 | 92% | −1 | 72–91 |
| Jelena Bulajic | 0.9 | 92% | −1 | 72–91 |
Change is in Purdue's win chance, in points. Scores read IU Indy, then Purdue. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
IU Indy
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Purdue
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| IU Indy | Purdue | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.9 197th | 94.6 120th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.5 262nd | 93.2 153rd |
| Possessions a game | 73.6 65th | 72.9 103rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.1% 271st | 46.3% 127th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.0% 270th | 45.3% 166th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.1% 231st | 25.8% 317th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.3% 110th | 33.9% 124th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 2nd | 0.28 3rd |
The widest gap: Purdue's offense (120th) against IU Indy's defense (262nd), of 363 teams.
First half
IU Indy led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 16.6 points and the total by 6.3.
- At halftime
- IU Indy 38, Purdue 33
- Projected halftime score
- IU Indy 33, Purdue 44
- First-half margin
- Purdue by 11.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 77.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
IU Indy
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reagan SiplaG | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Olivia SmithG | 31 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Hailey SmithG | 31 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Destini CraigG | 25 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Julia HallG | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Olivia FlynnG | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E'Zaria AdamsG | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Hailee BrennenF | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Mylie WilkisonG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Purdue
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelena BulajicG | 37 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Kyndall HunterG | 37 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Avery GordonC | 28 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah WickstromG | 27 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Taylor HendersonG | 26 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Averi AaronF | 24 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Keona DouwstraG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Maya ZilbershlagNA | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Katka SedivaF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |