Jackson St 41, Arizona St 84
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Desert Financial Arena. Jackson St our rank 334 · 1-3; Arizona St our rank 37 · 3-0.
Who won Jackson St vs Arizona St?
Final: Arizona State 84, Jackson State 41. Before tip-off the model gave Arizona State a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 42.4 points for Arizona State. Averie Lower scored 15 for Arizona St; Ne'Vaeh Buntley had 12 for Jackson St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Ruby Whitehorn: Jackson St <1%Arizona St >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Arizona St >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Arizona St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona St | ||||
| Ruby Whitehorn | 4.6 | >99% | 0 | 58–96 |
| Rashunda Jones | 4.4 | >99% | 0 | 58–96 |
| McKinna Brackens | 3.9 | >99% | 0 | 58–96 |
| Madison Morson | 3.3 | >99% | 0 | 58–97 |
Change is in Arizona St's win chance, in points. Scores read Jackson St, then Arizona St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Jackson St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Arizona St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Jackson St | Arizona St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.1 315th | 106.7 32nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.1 327th | 83.1 46th |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 293rd | 71.0 285th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.6% 296th | 47.3% 79th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.9% 266th | 43.2% 54th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 67th | 22.1% 70th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 217th | 36.5% 42nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 204th | 0.19 297th |
The widest gap: Arizona St's offense (32nd) against Jackson St's defense (327th), of 363 teams.
First half
Arizona St led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 11.4 points and the total by 18.0.
- At halftime
- Jackson St 21, Arizona St 34
- Projected halftime score
- Jackson St 24, Arizona St 49
- First-half margin
- Arizona St by 24.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Jackson St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy GladneyG | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Ne'vaeh BuntleyF | 26 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Taler ThorntonG | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Camryn O'NeilG | 23 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Rhianna BattlesG | 22 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Joi JohnsonF | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Laila GrantF | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Madison EddingsC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Selina GutierrezG | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Arizona St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Averie LowerG | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Ruby WhitehornG | 26 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Ella RyanG | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| McKinna BrackensF | 23 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Heloisa CarreraF | 22 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashunda JonesG | 20 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| Amaya WilliamsG | 20 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Deborah DavenportG | 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Ayanna-Sarai DarringtonF | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |