Jackson St at Arkansas St
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at First National Bank Arena. Jackson St our rank 334 · 1-3; Arkansas St our rank 199 · 0-3.
Who will win Jackson St vs Arkansas St?
The model gives Arkansas State a 90% chance to beat Jackson State, with a projected score of Arkansas St 74, Jackson St 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | |||||
| RoseG · 33 min | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 20+ 44% | |
| GrayG · 31 min | 13.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 15+ 38% | |
| MarshG · 18 min | 9.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| FriersonG · 23 min | 7.7 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 10+ 31% | |
| Jackson St | |||||
| BuntleyF · 27 min | 13.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 15+ 41% | |
| ThorntonG · 26 min | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 10+ 35% | |
| GladneyG · 23 min | 6.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 5+ 59% | |
| JohnsonF · 19 min | 6.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Crislyn Rose: Jackson St 14%Arkansas St 86%
The white mark is the call with her: Arkansas St 90%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Arkansas St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | ||||
| Crislyn Rose | 2.5 | 86% | −4 | 60–73 |
Change is in Arkansas St's win chance, in points. Scores read Jackson St, then Arkansas St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Jackson St 1-3LLWL
- Nov 12L 60-73at Southern Miss
- Nov 9W 85-70vs Mississippi U for Women
- Nov 4L 55-77at Grand Canyon
- Nov 2L 41-84at Arizona St
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 60.2 and allowing 76.0
Arkansas St 0-3LLL
- Nov 11L 61-63at Loyola Chicago
- Nov 7L 59-89at FGCU
- Nov 2L 74-84at Ball State
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 64.7 and allowing 78.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Jackson St | Arkansas St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.1 315th | 86.5 240th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.1 327th | 93.7 166th |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 293rd | 76.4 4th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.6% 296th | 42.6% 325th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.9% 266th | 45.4% 170th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 67th | 22.5% 97th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 217th | 30.0% 315th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 204th | 0.21 166th |
The widest gap: Arkansas St's defense (166th) against Jackson St's offense (315th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Jackson St 27, Arkansas St 36
- First-half margin
- Arkansas St by 9.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.1
- Projected second half
- Jackson St 32, Arkansas St 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Jackson St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 28.2 scored, 37.5 allowed
- Arkansas St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 32.0 scored, 35.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Jackson St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ne'vaeh BuntleyF | 27 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Taler ThorntonG | 26 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Camryn O'NeilG | 25 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Cassidy GladneyG | 23 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ ast 56% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Rhianna BattlesG | 23 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Joi JohnsonF | 19 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 49% | |||||
| Madison EddingsC | 15 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Justine TcheuhchouaG | 14 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
Arkansas St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crislyn RoseG | 33 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 53% · 6+ ast 52% | |||||
| Amina GrayG | 31 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ threes 49% | |||||
| Jermesha FriersonG | 23 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Audreonia BensonG | 21 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Angela CarrollF | 20 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 48% | |||||
| Maya ChocanoG | 19 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Monica MarshG | 18 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 49% to play · 10+ pts 48% · 2+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Jaidyn ElamG | 15 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
Missed the last game: Monica Marsh (22 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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