Jackson St at North Alabama
Women's · Monday, November 23, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at CB&S Bank Arena at Flowers Hall. Jackson St our rank 334 · 1-3; North Alabama our rank 226 · 1-2.
Who will win Jackson St vs North Alabama?
The model gives North Alabama a 85% chance to beat Jackson State, with a projected score of North Alabama 68, Jackson St 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Alabama | |||||
| KurkowskiF · 32 min | 10.2 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 10+ 50% | |
| LusbyF · 17 min | 9.6 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 10+ 45% | |
| UlanderC · 27 min | 8.1 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 34% | |
| D'esteC · 22 min | 7.8 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 10+ 32% | |
| Jackson St | |||||
| BuntleyF · 27 min | 13.4 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 15+ 39% | |
| ThorntonG · 26 min | 8.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 10+ 33% | |
| GladneyG · 23 min | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 5+ 57% | |
| JohnsonF · 19 min | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Brynn Lusby: Jackson St 17%North Alabama 83%
The white mark is the call with her: North Alabama 85%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | North Alabama without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Alabama | ||||
| Brynn Lusby | 1.0 | 83% | −2 | 55–67 |
| Amy Kurkowski | 0.6 | 84% | −1 | 55–67 |
Change is in North Alabama's win chance, in points. Scores read Jackson St, then North Alabama. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Jackson St 1-3LLWL
- Nov 12L 60-73at Southern Miss
- Nov 9W 85-70vs Mississippi U for Women
- Nov 4L 55-77at Grand Canyon
- Nov 2L 41-84at Arizona St
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 60.2 and allowing 76.0
North Alabama 1-2LLW
- Nov 9W 66-63at Jax State
- Nov 5L 51-72at Ole MissCovered +44.5 · Under 131.5
- Nov 3L 27-68at Mississippi St
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 48.0 and allowing 67.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Jackson St | North Alabama | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 80.1 315th | 83.2 282nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.1 327th | 93.7 165th |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 293rd | 71.8 200th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.6% 296th | 44.4% 259th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.9% 266th | 44.5% 122nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 67th | 28.3% 353rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 217th | 38.5% 9th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 204th | 0.20 228th |
The widest gap: North Alabama's defense (165th) against Jackson St's offense (315th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Jackson St 25, North Alabama 33
- First-half margin
- North Alabama by 7.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 58.2
- Projected second half
- Jackson St 30, North Alabama 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 64.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Jackson St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 28.2 scored, 37.5 allowed
- North Alabama, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 24.7 scored, 26.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Jackson St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ne'vaeh BuntleyF | 27 | 13.4 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Taler ThorntonG | 26 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Camryn O'NeilG | 26 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Cassidy GladneyG | 23 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Rhianna BattlesG | 23 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Joi JohnsonF | 19 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 47% | |||||
| Madison EddingsC | 15 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 43% | |||||
| Justine TcheuhchouaG | 14 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
North Alabama
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy KurkowskiF | 32 | 10.2 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Greta RamonG | 27 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 55% | |||||
| Venla UlanderC | 27 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Emma D'esteC | 22 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 7+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Maria StefancovaG | 20 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Brynn LusbyF | 17 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| MarcKalia CelestineC | 14 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 5+ reb 46% | |||||
| Olivia TredreaG | 13 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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