North Alabama at Vanderbilt
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Memorial Gymnasium (TN). North Alabama our rank 226 · 1-2; Vanderbilt AP 8, our rank 7 · 4-0.
Who will win North Alabama vs Vanderbilt?
The model gives Vanderbilt a >99% chance to beat North Alabama, with a projected score of Vanderbilt 94, North Alabama 49.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | |||||
| BlakesG · 26 min | 20.9 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 20+ 54% | |
| WoolfolkF · 21 min | 18.7 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 20+ 42% | |
| GalvanG · 26 min | 14.4 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 15+ 45% | |
| AtamahG · 24 min | 11.1 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 10+ 56% | |
| North Alabama | |||||
| LusbyF · 17 min | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 5+ 68% | |
| KurkowskiF · 29 min | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 5+ 64% | |
| UlanderC · 25 min | 5.7 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 5+ 53% | |
| D'esteC · 22 min | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 5+ 53% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mikayla Blakes: North Alabama 1%Vanderbilt 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Vanderbilt >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Vanderbilt without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | ||||
| Mikayla Blakes | 8.0 | 99% | −1 | 53–90 |
| Aubrey Galvan | 5.8 | >99% | 0 | 51–91 |
| Mia Woolfolk | 4.7 | >99% | 0 | 51–91 |
| Vernell Atamah | 3.7 | >99% | 0 | 50–92 |
| North Alabama | ||||
| Brynn Lusby | 1.0 | >99% | 0 | 48–94 |
| Amy Kurkowski | 0.6 | >99% | 0 | 48–94 |
Change is in Vanderbilt's win chance, in points. Scores read North Alabama, then Vanderbilt. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
North Alabama 1-2LLW
- Nov 9W 66-63at Jax State
- Nov 5L 51-72at Ole MissCovered +44.5 · Under 131.5
- Nov 3L 27-68at Mississippi St
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 48.0 and allowing 67.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Vanderbilt 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 101-59vs Western KYDidn't cover −46.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 9W 102-50vs Morehead StDidn't cover −52.5 · Over 148.5
- Nov 4W 100-42vs Queens
- Nov 2W 112-53vs Lipscomb
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 103.8 and allowing 51.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| North Alabama | Vanderbilt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 83.2 282nd | 119.9 4th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 93.7 165th | 81.6 31st |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 200th | 74.0 47th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.4% 259th | 52.6% 2nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.5% 122nd | 44.7% 131st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 28.3% 353rd | 21.1% 25th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 38.5% 9th | 38.6% 7th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 228th | 0.20 283rd |
The widest gap: Vanderbilt's defense (31st) against North Alabama's offense (282nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- North Alabama 21, Vanderbilt 47
- First-half margin
- Vanderbilt by 26.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.5
- Projected second half
- North Alabama 28, Vanderbilt 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- North Alabama, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 24.7 scored, 26.0 allowed
- Vanderbilt, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 64.3 scored, 20.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
North Alabama
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy KurkowskiF | 29 | 6.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Greta RamonG | 25 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Venla UlanderC | 25 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Emma D'esteC | 22 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Maria StefancovaG | 20 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Brynn LusbyF | 17 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| MarcKalia CelestineC | 15 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
| Olivia TredreaG | 14 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Vanderbilt
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikayla BlakesG | 26 | 20.9 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 2.0 |
| 20+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Aubrey GalvanG | 26 | 14.4 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 7+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Vernell AtamahG | 24 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Olivia JonesG | 23 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Mia WoolfolkF | 21 | 18.7 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 20+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Madison GreeneG | 20 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Jhai JohnsonF | 16 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Aiyana MitchellF | 15 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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