Who won Lehigh vs UCLA?
Final: UCLA 73, Lehigh 53. Before tip-off the model gave UCLA a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 34.6 points for UCLA. Sienna Betts scored 15 for UCLA; Leia Edwards had 14 for Lehigh.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Sienna Betts: Lehigh 2%UCLA 98%
The white mark is the call with her: UCLA 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UCLA without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 UCLA | ||||
| Sienna Betts | 5.8 | 98% | −1 | 66–95 |
| Donovyn Hunter | 5.0 | 98% | −1 | 66–96 |
| Addy Brown | 4.8 | 98% | −1 | 66–96 |
| Timea Gardiner | 4.8 | 98% | −1 | 66–96 |
 Lehigh | ||||
| Leia Edwards | 3.0 | >99% | +1 | 62–100 |
| Belle Bramer | 2.0 | >99% | +1 | 63–99 |
| Gracyn Lovette | 1.5 | >99% | +1 | 63–99 |
| Ryann Jennings | 1.0 | >99% | +1 | 63–99 |
Change is in UCLA's win chance, in points. Scores read Lehigh, then UCLA. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lehigh | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.2 112th | 111.7 15th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 91.2 124th | 72.8 4th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 71.1 272nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.5% 17th | 46.0% 142nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.4% 170th | 41.2% 14th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.2% 238th | 22.4% 90th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.6% 348th | 36.1% 46th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 225th | 0.17 353rd |
The widest gap: UCLA's offense (15th) against Lehigh's defense (124th), of 363 teams.
First half
UCLA led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 14.9 points and the total by 17.6.
- At halftime
- Lehigh 27, UCLA 32
- Projected halftime score
- Lehigh 28, UCLA 48
- First-half margin
- UCLA by 19.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 76.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lehigh
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leia EdwardsG | 37 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Gracyn LovetteG | 33 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Ryann JenningsG | 30 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Olivia FlemingG | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Belle BramerG | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Keshia VitalicioG | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Olivia JohnstonF | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alana ReddyG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Whitney LindF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
UCLA
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovyn HunterG | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Elina AarnisaloG | 29 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Sienna BettsF | 24 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Addy BrownF | 24 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| KK BransfordG | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Timea GardinerF | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Somto OkaforG | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Bonnie DeasG | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Amanda MuseF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |