Who will win Lehigh vs Vermont?
The model gives Lehigh a 56% chance to beat Vermont, with a projected score of Lehigh 66, Vermont 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lehigh | |||||
| EdwardsG · 32 min | 16.0 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 15+ 55% | |
| JenningsG · 28 min | 11.6 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 10+ 60% | |
| BramerG · 22 min | 7.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5+ 68% | |
| LovetteG · 31 min | 7.0 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 5+ 65% | |
 Vermont | |||||
| GilweeG · 34 min | 13.3 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 15+ 38% | |
| HaanG · 33 min | 11.1 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| Papanastasiou-ThomasG · 28 min | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 10+ 32% | |
| HosierG · 32 min | 6.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 5+ 64% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Leia Edwards: Lehigh 46%Vermont 54%
The white mark is the call with her: Lehigh 56%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Lehigh without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lehigh | ||||
| Leia Edwards | 3.0 | 46% | −10 | 65–66 |
| Belle Bramer | 2.0 | 50% | −6 | 65–65 |
| Gracyn Lovette | 1.5 | 51% | −5 | 66–65 |
| Ryann Jennings | 1.0 | 53% | −3 | 66–65 |
| Vermont | ||||
| Emma Haan | 1.0 | 59% | +3 | 67–64 |
| Savanna Creal | 1.0 | 59% | +3 | 67–64 |
| Catherine Gilwee | 0.6 | 58% | +2 | 67–64 |
| Meja Jaegerskog | 0.6 | 58% | +2 | 67–64 |
Change is in Lehigh's win chance, in points. Scores read Lehigh, then Vermont. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Lehigh 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 66.3 and allowing 64.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lehigh | Vermont | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.2 112th | 94.8 118th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 91.2 124th | 98.7 272nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 68.0 363rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.5% 17th | 45.5% 179th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.4% 170th | 48.5% 328th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.2% 238th | 22.0% 57th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.6% 348th | 30.5% 300th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 225th | 0.18 335th |
The widest gap: Lehigh's offense (112th) against Vermont's defense (272nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Lehigh 32, Vermont 30
- First-half margin
- Lehigh by 1.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.0
- Projected second half
- Lehigh 35, Vermont 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Lehigh, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.3 scored, 31.0 allowed
- Vermont, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 35.5 scored, 32.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Lehigh
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leia EdwardsG | 32 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 4+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Gracyn LovetteG | 31 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 60% | |||||
| Olivia FlemingG | 30 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Ryann JenningsG | 28 | 11.6 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Belle BramerG | 22 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Olivia JohnstonF | 18 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Keshia VitalicioG | 17 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Alana ReddyG | 14 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
Vermont
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine GilweeG | 34 | 13.3 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Emma HaanG | 33 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 2+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jacklynn HosierG | 32 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Sienna Papanastasiou-ThomasG | 28 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Savanna CrealF | 22 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Madison HallF | 16 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Neta MaysharG | 15 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Meja JaegerskogF | 13 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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