Who will win Towson vs Lehigh?
The model gives Lehigh a 89% chance to beat Towson, with a projected score of Lehigh 74, Towson 58.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lehigh | |||||
| EdwardsG · 30 min | 16.5 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 15+ 58% | |
| JenningsG · 27 min | 12.1 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 10+ 63% | |
| BramerG · 21 min | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 10+ 33% | |
| LovetteG · 29 min | 7.3 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 5+ 67% | |
 Towson | |||||
| KhalilG · 36 min | 9.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 10+ 43% | |
| ShepardG · 32 min | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| WilkersonG · 26 min | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 10+ 32% | |
| RenningerG · 31 min | 7.6 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Leia Edwards: Towson 16%Lehigh 84%
The white mark is the call with her: Lehigh 89%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Lehigh without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lehigh | ||||
| Leia Edwards | 3.0 | 84% | −5 | 60–72 |
| Belle Bramer | 2.0 | 86% | −3 | 59–73 |
| Gracyn Lovette | 1.5 | 87% | −2 | 59–73 |
| Ryann Jennings | 1.0 | 88% | −1 | 59–73 |
Change is in Lehigh's win chance, in points. Scores read Towson, then Lehigh. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Towson 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 64.7 and allowing 74.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Towson | Lehigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.9 221st | 95.2 112th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.1 256th | 91.2 124th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.6% 324th | 49.5% 17th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.7% 189th | 45.4% 170th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.2% 29th | 24.2% 238th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.4% 256th | 28.6% 348th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 289th | 0.20 225th |
The widest gap: Lehigh's offense (112th) against Towson's defense (256th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Towson 27, Lehigh 36
- First-half margin
- Lehigh by 9.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.5
- Projected second half
- Towson 31, Lehigh 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Towson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 32.7 scored, 29.7 allowed
- Lehigh, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.3 scored, 31.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Towson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoli KhalilG | 36 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Thalia ShepardG | 32 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Ava RenningerG | 31 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 43% to play · 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Eva WilkersonG | 26 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Diamond WattersF | 20 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 51% | |||||
| Masyn MarchbanksG | 19 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Peyton WhiteF | 18 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 56% | |||||
| Nadeya RegalaG | 17 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ava Renninger (36 min a game).
Lehigh
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leia EdwardsG | 30 | 16.5 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 58% · 8+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Gracyn LovetteG | 29 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 52% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Olivia FlemingG | 28 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Ryann JenningsG | 27 | 12.1 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Belle BramerG | 21 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Olivia JohnstonF | 18 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Keshia VitalicioG | 17 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Alana ReddyG | 15 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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