Who will win Towson vs Loyola MD?
The model gives Loyola Maryland a 56% chance to beat Towson, with a projected score of Loyola MD 64, Towson 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Loyola MD | |||||
| LangleyG · 28 min | 8.4 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 10+ 37% | |
| RameyG · 30 min | 8.2 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 10+ 35% | |
| AmorichF · 24 min | 7.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 10+ 33% | |
| SimmonsF · 23 min | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 5+ 69% | |
 Towson | |||||
| KhalilG · 39 min | 10.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 10+ 53% | |
| ShepardG · 34 min | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 10+ 51% | |
| RenningerG · 33 min | 8.7 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 10+ 38% | |
| WilkersonG · 28 min | 8.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 10+ 38% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Towson 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 64.7 and allowing 74.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Towson | Loyola MD | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.9 221st | 84.8 264th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.1 256th | 98.0 255th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 69.5 352nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.6% 324th | 45.1% 201st |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.7% 189th | 44.1% 100th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.2% 29th | 25.1% 284th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.4% 256th | 32.5% 200th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 289th | 0.19 304th |
The widest gap: Towson's offense (221st) against Loyola MD's defense (255th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Towson 29, Loyola MD 30
- First-half margin
- Loyola MD by 1.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.8
- Projected second half
- Towson 33, Loyola MD 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Towson, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 32.7 scored, 29.7 allowed
- Loyola MD, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 26.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Towson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoli KhalilG | 39 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Thalia ShepardG | 34 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ava RenningerG | 33 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 43% to play · 10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Eva WilkersonG | 28 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Diamond WattersF | 20 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Masyn MarchbanksG | 19 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Peyton WhiteF | 18 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 44% | |||||
| Nadeya RegalaG | 17 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ava Renninger (36 min a game).
Loyola MD
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takeira RameyG | 30 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Kailey KaletG | 30 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Aidan LangleyG | 28 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Amandine AmorichF | 24 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Avery SimmonsF | 23 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Tyler EdwardsF | 22 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Sydney BassF | 17 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Olivia ShaughnessyG | 16 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…