High Point at Vermont
Women's · Thursday, November 19, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Patrick Gymnasium. High Point our rank 133 · 4-0; Vermont our rank 176 · 2-2.
Who will win High Point vs Vermont?
The model gives Vermont a 50% chance to beat High Point, with a projected score of Vermont 65, High Point 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont | |||||
| GilweeG · 34 min | 13.5 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 15+ 40% | |
| HaanG · 33 min | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 10+ 58% | |
| Papanastasiou-ThomasG · 29 min | 7.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 10+ 33% | |
| HosierG · 32 min | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 5+ 65% | |
| High Point | |||||
| FeldmanG · 33 min | 15.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 15+ 50% | |
| WoodardF · 32 min | 11.4 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 10+ 58% | |
| TippnerG · 31 min | 10.6 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 10+ 53% | |
| GerdesF · 27 min | 9.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Emma Haan: High Point 53%Vermont 47%
The white mark is the call with her: Vermont 50%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Vermont without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont | ||||
| Emma Haan | 1.0 | 47% | −3 | 66–65 |
| Savanna Creal | 1.0 | 47% | −3 | 66–65 |
| Catherine Gilwee | 0.6 | 48% | −2 | 65–65 |
| Meja Jaegerskog | 0.6 | 48% | −2 | 65–65 |
| High Point | ||||
| Juliann Woodard | 2.7 | 60% | +10 | 64–67 |
| Meredith Tippner | 1.2 | 55% | +5 | 64–66 |
| Taylor Feldman | 1.2 | 55% | +5 | 65–66 |
| Peyton Gerdes | 1.1 | 55% | +5 | 65–66 |
Change is in Vermont's win chance, in points. Scores read High Point, then Vermont. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
High Point 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 67-54at East Carolina
- Nov 7W 78-71at Ball State
- Nov 4W 75-46vs Wingate
- Nov 2W 88-39vs Lees McRae
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 77.0 and allowing 52.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| High Point | Vermont | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 91.6 156th | 94.8 118th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 90.3 113th | 98.7 272nd |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 115th | 68.0 363rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.7% 113th | 45.5% 179th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.0% 88th | 48.5% 328th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 72nd | 22.0% 57th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.0% 168th | 30.5% 300th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 263rd | 0.18 335th |
The widest gap: High Point's offense (156th) against Vermont's defense (272nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- High Point 31, Vermont 31
- First-half margin
- Vermont by 0.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.8
- Projected second half
- High Point 34, Vermont 34
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- High Point, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 38.0 scored, 22.5 allowed
- Vermont, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 35.5 scored, 32.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
High Point
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor FeldmanG | 33 | 15.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 43% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Brecken SnotherlyG | 33 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Juliann WoodardF | 32 | 11.4 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 8+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Meredith TippnerG | 31 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 7+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Peyton GerdesF | 27 | 9.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Rylee BessG | 23 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Khloe LemonG | 13 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
Vermont
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine GilweeG | 34 | 13.5 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 50% | |||||
| Emma HaanG | 33 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 2+ ast 54% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jacklynn HosierG | 32 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Sienna Papanastasiou-ThomasG | 29 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Savanna CrealF | 22 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Madison HallF | 16 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Neta MaysharG | 15 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Meja JaegerskogF | 13 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…