Who won Marist vs Drexel?
Final: Drexel 62, Marist 47. Before tip-off the model gave Drexel a 81% chance to win, with a projected margin of 12.3 points for Drexel. Laine McGurk scored 15 for Drexel; Ryan Oldaker had 12 for Marist.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Laine McGurk: Marist 22%Drexel 78%
The white mark is the call with her: Drexel 81%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Drexel without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Drexel | ||||
| Laine McGurk | 1.9 | 78% | −3 | 70–80 |
| Molly Rullo | 0.9 | 80% | −1 | 69–81 |
| Julia Garcia Roig | 0.7 | 80% | −1 | 69–81 |
 Marist | ||||
| Justine Henry | 0.8 | 83% | +2 | 68–82 |
Change is in Drexel's win chance, in points. Scores read Marist, then Drexel. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Marist
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Drexel
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Marist | Drexel | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.5 257th | 93.7 132nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.6 267th | 98.2 258th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 68.3 362nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.0% 97th | 44.6% 233rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.0% 212th | 47.8% 304th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.1% 146th | 21.6% 38th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.0% 358th | 30.9% 285th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 182nd | 0.19 313th |
The widest gap: Drexel's offense (132nd) against Marist's defense (267th), of 363 teams.
First half
Drexel led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 0.1 points and the total by 12.1.
- At halftime
- Marist 26, Drexel 33
- Projected halftime score
- Marist 32, Drexel 39
- First-half margin
- Drexel by 7.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Marist
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine HenryG | 32 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey BretonesG | 30 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Madison OhmG | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan OldakerG | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Karly FischerF | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Julia CorsentinoG | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Catie KlemmG | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Chloe EscanillasG | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Claudia Clement MarsanF | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Drexel
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laine McGurkG | 34 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Julia Garcia RoigG | 34 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Molly RulloG | 32 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Molly LavinF | 24 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Bria WatkinsG | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Megan RulloG | 21 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Aisha DaboF | 15 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Emilee JonesG | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miley MalcolmF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |