Saint Joseph's at Drexel
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Daskalakis Athletic Center. Saint Joseph's our rank 60 · 2-0; Drexel our rank 178 · 1-2.
Who will win Saint Joseph's vs Drexel?
The model gives Saint Joseph's a 80% chance to beat Drexel, with a projected score of Saint Joseph's 71, Drexel 60.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Joseph's | |||||
| CaseyG · 31 min | 15.3 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 15+ 51% | |
| EvansF · 26 min | 11.9 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 62% | |
| StokesG · 21 min | 10.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 10+ 49% | |
| SneadG · 29 min | 9.3 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 10+ 43% | |
| Drexel | |||||
| McGurkG · 34 min | 13.5 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 15+ 40% | |
| RulloG · 34 min | 10.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 10+ 49% | |
| WatkinsG · 26 min | 7.4 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 5+ 68% | |
| Garcia RoigG · 31 min | 6.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Gabby Casey: Saint Joseph's 70%Drexel 30%
The white mark is the call with her: Saint Joseph's 80%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Saint Joseph's without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Joseph's | ||||
| Gabby Casey | 4.1 | 70% | −10 | 69–62 |
| Aleah Snead | 2.6 | 74% | −6 | 69–61 |
| Deja Evans | 2.5 | 74% | −6 | 69–61 |
| Jill Jekot | 2.0 | 75% | −5 | 70–61 |
| Drexel | ||||
| Laine McGurk | 1.9 | 84% | +4 | 72–59 |
| Molly Rullo | 0.9 | 82% | +2 | 71–59 |
| Julia Garcia Roig | 0.7 | 81% | +1 | 71–59 |
Change is in Saint Joseph's's win chance, in points. Scores read Saint Joseph's, then Drexel. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Saint Joseph's 2-0WW
- Nov 11W 67-56at Cincinnati
- Nov 7W 95-27vs Kutztown
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 81.0 and allowing 41.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Saint Joseph's | Drexel | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.6 63rd | 93.7 132nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 86.6 64th | 98.2 258th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 307th | 68.3 362nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.1% 139th | 44.6% 233rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.0% 41st | 47.8% 304th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.6% 43rd | 21.6% 38th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.4% 257th | 30.9% 285th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 75th | 0.19 313th |
The widest gap: Saint Joseph's's offense (63rd) against Drexel's defense (258th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Saint Joseph's 34, Drexel 28
- First-half margin
- Saint Joseph's by 6.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.8
- Projected second half
- Saint Joseph's 37, Drexel 32
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Saint Joseph's, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 43.0 scored, 19.5 allowed
- Drexel, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 29.7 scored, 34.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Saint Joseph's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby CaseyG | 31 | 15.3 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| Aleah SneadG | 29 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 42% | |||||
| Jill JekotG | 28 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Deja EvansF | 26 | 11.9 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Kaylinn BetheaG | 22 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Rhian StokesG | 21 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Maddy PottsG | 16 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Jahzara GreenF | 16 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
Drexel
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly RulloG | 34 | 10.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Laine McGurkG | 34 | 13.5 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Julia Garcia RoigG | 31 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 53% · 5+ ast 50% | |||||
| Bria WatkinsG | 26 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Molly LavinF | 25 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Megan RulloG | 18 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Aisha DaboF | 16 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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