Probable Stats
Menu

Presbyterian 50, UNC Greensboro 58

Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Bodford Arena. Presbyterian our rank 353 · 0-3; UNC Greensboro our rank 283 · 3-1.

Who won Presbyterian vs UNC Greensboro?

Final: UNC Greensboro 58, Presbyterian 50. Before tip-off the model gave UNC Greensboro a 93% chance to win, with a projected margin of 20.2 points for UNC Greensboro. Gloria Tony scored 17 for UNC Greensboro; Yolanda Floyd had 14 for Presbyterian.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winUNC Greensboro 93%Presbyterian 7%
Projected score64–84Presbyterian, then UNC Greensboro
Margin20.2UNC Greensboro · no line posted
Total148.3no line posted
First half29–41UNC Greensboro ahead 86%
Presbyterian by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40UNC Greensboro by 50Model: UNC Greensboro by 20.2Presbyterian by 10by 10by 30UNC Greensboro by 50Model: UNC Greensboro by 20.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Presbyterian

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    UNC Greensboro

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    PresbyterianUNC Greensboro
    Points scored per 100 possessions76.8 345th80.6 311th
    Points allowed per 100106.1 354th96.0 217th
    Possessions a game72.1 164th70.0 338th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.8% 224th44.5% 241st
    Opponents' shooting46.8% 259th41.6% 17th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.1% 229th26.9% 339th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.7% 185th34.4% 106th
    Free throws per shot0.19 285th0.20 233rd

    The widest gap: UNC Greensboro's defense (217th) against Presbyterian's offense (345th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    UNC Greensboro led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 9.3 points and the total by 21.3.

    At halftime
    Presbyterian 14, UNC Greensboro 35
    Projected halftime score
    Presbyterian 29, UNC Greensboro 41
    First-half margin
    UNC Greensboro by 11.7
    First-half points, both teams
    70.3
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Presbyterian

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Krystal HaddockG319600
    Aretha LingerG2712310
    Yolanda FloydG2514501
    Yasmeen BrightwellG243640
    Azjah ReevesG2410522
    Alyssa FebresG232420
    Saoirse SmartF200210
    Kyaija StewartF150100
    Dylande InnocentF110100

    UNC Greensboro

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Rose SimpsonG359320
    Leyla MinorG356830
    Savannah Robinson-HolmesG349331
    Gloria TonyG3217700
    Kristina RakotobeF28101000
    Tiarna Chambers-DesmondF137600
    Joelle DavisG90000
    Laneigh ScalesF70110
    Sydney MurphyG40000

    More games on Mon, Nov 2

    All games
    1. Final91-79Oklahoma vs North Carolina, women's: game page
    2. Final40-63Binghamton at Monmouth, women's: game page
    3. Final52-59James Madison at Miami OH, women's: game page
    4. Final82-67Murray St at S Indiana, women's: game page
    5. Final71-91Temple at George Mason, women's: game page
    6. Final61-57Louisiana Tech at Toledo, women's: game page