Who won Radford vs Clemson?
Final: Clemson 68, Radford 47. Before tip-off the model gave Clemson a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 27.6 points for Clemson. Mackenzie Nelson scored 16 for Clemson; Angelina Nice had 12 for Radford.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Mia Moore: Radford 4%Clemson 96%
The white mark is the call with her: Clemson 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Clemson without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clemson | ||||
| Mia Moore | 4.0 | 96% | −2 | 66–89 |
| Taliyah Henderson | 3.2 | 96% | −2 | 65–90 |
| Mackenzie Nelson | 2.9 | 96% | −2 | 65–90 |
| Rusne Augustinaite | 2.4 | 97% | −1 | 65–90 |
 Radford | ||||
| Georgia Simonsen | 1.7 | 98% | 0 | 63–92 |
| Angelina Nice | 0.9 | 98% | 0 | 63–92 |
Change is in Clemson's win chance, in points. Scores read Radford, then Clemson. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Radford
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Clemson
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Radford | Clemson | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 87.8 224th | 101.1 67th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 93.3 157th | 83.4 49th |
| Possessions a game | 72.5 135th | 69.6 350th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.4% 123rd | 45.7% 158th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.3% 166th | 44.7% 134th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.2% 153rd | 23.1% 143rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.6% 142nd | 31.1% 273rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 198th | 0.20 227th |
The widest gap: Clemson's defense (49th) against Radford's offense (224th), of 363 teams.
First half
It was tied at the half. The margin was off by 15.9 points and the total by 19.6.
- At halftime
- Radford 27, Clemson 27
- Projected halftime score
- Radford 29, Clemson 45
- First-half margin
- Clemson by 15.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Radford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelina NiceG | 29 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Kailyn FieldsG | 28 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Cherish HaywoodG | 28 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Georgia SimonsenF | 27 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Cate CarlsonG | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Logan Luebbers PalmerG | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jordin RichardsonG | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Anaiah JenkinsF | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kerri FluellenG | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Clemson
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie NelsonG | 33 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Mia MooreG | 31 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Taliyah HendersonG | 30 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Rusne AugustinaiteG | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Edie ClarkeF | 22 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Holland HarrisG | 19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Meeyah GreenG | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Julia ScottF | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Kimora FieldsF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |