Who won Rider vs NJIT?
Final: NJIT 50, Rider 45. Before tip-off the model gave NJIT a 92% chance to win, with a projected margin of 19.7 points for NJIT. Marissa Gingrich scored 21 for NJIT; Giana Hoddinott had 16 for Rider.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Ava Locklear: Rider 10%NJIT 90%
The white mark is the call with her: NJIT 92%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | NJIT without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NJIT | ||||
| Ava Locklear | 2.0 | 90% | −2 | 68–85 |
| Allison Cannon | 1.4 | 91% | −1 | 67–85 |
| Marissa Gingrich | 1.4 | 91% | −1 | 67–86 |
Change is in NJIT's win chance, in points. Scores read Rider, then NJIT. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Rider | NJIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 77.0 341st | 87.6 226th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.7 232nd | 91.6 127th |
| Possessions a game | 70.1 334th | 71.3 251st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.3% 304th | 44.4% 256th |
| Opponents' shooting | 42.5% 26th | 41.0% 11th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.2% 80th | 23.2% 152nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.2% 155th | 29.9% 320th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 94th | 0.23 85th |
The widest gap: NJIT's defense (127th) against Rider's offense (341st), of 363 teams.
First half
NJIT led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.3 points and the total by 21.4.
- At halftime
- Rider 23, NJIT 28
- Projected halftime score
- Rider 31, NJIT 42
- First-half margin
- NJIT by 11.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Rider
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliya McIverG | 39 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Giana HoddinottG | 36 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Gabby SweeneyF | 35 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Julia KarpellG | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aina Perez MesquidaG | 24 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Alena CofieldG | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Millie PerryG | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Colleen BesachioF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rebekah HartzellG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
NJIT
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa GingrichG | 35 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Mia GestosaniG | 33 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Ava LocklearF | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Madilyn DogsG | 29 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| Mackenzie Wright-RawlsF | 22 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Allison CannonG | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Piper EngelbyG | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia O'MeallyF | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Kate DonovanG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |