San José St 54, Nebraska 81
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Pinnacle Bank Arena. San José St our rank 303 · 0-2; Nebraska AP 25, our rank 21 · 3-0.
Who won San José St vs Nebraska?
Final: Nebraska 81, San José State 54. Before tip-off the model gave Nebraska a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 42.6 points for Nebraska. Britt Prince scored 23 for Nebraska; Erika Mace had 20 for San José St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Britt Prince: San José St <1%Nebraska >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Nebraska >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Nebraska without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska | ||||
| Britt Prince | 6.2 | >99% | 0 | 65–101 |
| Amiah Hargrove | 5.1 | >99% | 0 | 64–102 |
| Natalie Potts | 3.4 | >99% | 0 | 63–102 |
| Logan Nissley | 3.2 | >99% | 0 | 63–102 |
| San José St | ||||
| Adlee Blacklock | 1.4 | >99% | 0 | 61–105 |
Change is in Nebraska's win chance, in points. Scores read San José St, then Nebraska. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
San José St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Nebraska
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| San José St | Nebraska | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 81.5 300th | 107.8 25th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.7 271st | 78.1 12th |
| Possessions a game | 73.3 76th | 72.7 115th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.9% 211th | 48.8% 26th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.2% 105th | 44.2% 104th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.1% 286th | 23.6% 191st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.2% 355th | 35.3% 67th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 132nd | 0.20 246th |
The widest gap: Nebraska's defense (12th) against San José St's offense (300th), of 363 teams.
First half
Nebraska led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 8.5 points and the total by 20.5.
- At halftime
- San José St 21, Nebraska 37
- Projected halftime score
- San José St 27, Nebraska 52
- First-half margin
- Nebraska by 24.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 78.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
San José St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adlee BlacklockG | 33 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Erika MaceG | 31 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Sydnie RodriguezG | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Cristina Sanchez CerqueiraF | 24 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Eve BlagroveG | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayla LorenzG | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maleyni TolliverF | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriela PatoF | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Carla FusterG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Nebraska
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Britt PrinceG | 32 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Amiah HargroveF | 22 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Edessa NoyanF | 22 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Kennadi WilliamsG | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Natalie PottsF | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Ashlyn KoupalF | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Maddi StewartG | 18 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Allison WeidnerG | 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Emily FisherG | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |