UAlbany 65, Northeastern 61
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Cabot Center. UAlbany our rank 202 · 3-1; Northeastern our rank 217 · 2-1.
Who won UAlbany vs Northeastern?
Final: UAlbany 65, Northeastern 61. Before tip-off the model gave UAlbany a 61% chance to win, with a projected margin of 3.8 points for UAlbany. Alexia Bujold scored 19 for UAlbany; Yirsy Queliz had 20 for Northeastern.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Madison Roman: UAlbany 56%Northeastern 44%
The white mark is the call with her: UAlbany 61%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UAlbany without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAlbany | ||||
| Madison Roman | 1.8 | 56% | −5 | 75–73 |
| Northeastern | ||||
| Justice Tramble | 0.9 | 63% | +2 | 77–72 |
| Anja Bukvic | 0.7 | 63% | +2 | 77–72 |
Change is in UAlbany's win chance, in points. Scores read UAlbany, then Northeastern. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
UAlbany
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Northeastern
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UAlbany | Northeastern | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.1 260th | 88.6 206th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 92.7 145th | 97.9 252nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.3 327th | 70.8 296th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.8% 153rd | 47.8% 54th |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.5% 65th | 44.4% 114th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.0% 322nd | 23.9% 215th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.1% 213th | 33.8% 131st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 149th | 0.19 285th |
The widest gap: UAlbany's defense (145th) against Northeastern's offense (206th), of 363 teams.
First half
Northeastern led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 4.2 points and the total by 6.6.
- At halftime
- UAlbany 31, Northeastern 33
- Projected halftime score
- UAlbany 36, Northeastern 34
- First-half margin
- UAlbany by 2.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
UAlbany
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia BujoldG | 34 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Shyla MontgomeryG | 31 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Daria ShishkinaG | 31 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Madison RomanF | 30 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Lara LangermannG | 29 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 |
| Noa López TallónG | 16 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Cadence JohnsonF | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Frankie McLainG | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Emma ZucconF | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Northeastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn CollinsG | 34 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Yirsy QuelizG | 32 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Morgan MatthewsG | 30 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Justice TrambleF | 29 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Anja BukvicG | 23 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Kailee Beaudion-FoliakiG | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Summer BostockG | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Maya SummervilleF | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor HolohanF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |