Northeastern at Providence
Women's · Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Alumni Hall (RI). Northeastern our rank 217 · 2-1; Providence our rank 156 · 1-2.
Who will win Northeastern vs Providence?
The model gives Providence a 79% chance to beat Northeastern, with a projected score of Providence 69, Northeastern 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence | |||||
| GormleyG · 28 min | 11.7 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 10+ 60% | |
| SilverG · 30 min | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 10+ 52% | |
| MoodyG · 27 min | 9.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 10+ 44% | |
| BarnerG · 23 min | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5+ 66% | |
| Northeastern | |||||
| CollinsG · 30 min | 12.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 10+ 62% | |
| TrambleF · 26 min | 11.5 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 10+ 59% | |
| QuelizG · 31 min | 10.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 10+ 54% | |
| MatthewsG · 29 min | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Orlagh Gormley: Northeastern 27%Providence 73%
The white mark is the call with her: Providence 79%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Providence without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence | ||||
| Orlagh Gormley | 2.2 | 73% | −6 | 60–67 |
| J'Adore Young | 1.7 | 74% | −5 | 60–68 |
| Northeastern | ||||
| Justice Tramble | 0.9 | 81% | +2 | 58–69 |
| Anja Bukvic | 0.7 | 80% | +1 | 58–69 |
Change is in Providence's win chance, in points. Scores read Northeastern, then Providence. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Northeastern 2-1LWW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 64.3 and allowing 57.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Northeastern | Providence | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.6 206th | 90.2 173rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.9 252nd | 91.7 129th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 70.8 296th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.8% 54th | 43.9% 282nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.4% 114th | 46.1% 218th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.9% 215th | 26.6% 334th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.8% 131st | 32.1% 219th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 285th | 0.22 115th |
The widest gap: Providence's offense (173rd) against Northeastern's defense (252nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Northeastern 27, Providence 33
- First-half margin
- Providence by 5.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.3
- Projected second half
- Northeastern 31, Providence 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Northeastern, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 27.3 allowed
- Providence, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.7 scored, 29.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Northeastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yirsy QuelizG | 31 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Camryn CollinsG | 30 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Morgan MatthewsG | 29 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Justice TrambleF | 26 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
| Kailee Beaudion-FoliakiG | 21 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Anja BukvicG | 19 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Summer BostockG | 16 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Maya SummervilleF | 16 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
Providence
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylah SilverG | 30 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Orlagh GormleyG | 28 | 11.7 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 54% | |||||
| Princess MoodyG | 27 | 9.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Taylor BarnerG | 23 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 26% to play · 5+ pts 66% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Payton DunbarG | 23 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| J'Adore YoungC | 22 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 44% | |||||
| Audrey ShieldsG | 19 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Voldie BasanaF | 15 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Missed the last game: Taylor Barner (26 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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