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Bryant at Northeastern

Women's · Saturday, November 21, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Cabot Center. Bryant our rank 157 · 4-0; Northeastern our rank 217 · 2-1.

Who will win Bryant vs Northeastern?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Bryant a 57% chance to beat Northeastern, with a projected score of Bryant 63, Northeastern 60.

To winBryant 57%Northeastern 43%
Projected score63–60Bryant, then Northeastern
Margin2.3Bryant · no line posted
Total123.0no line posted
First half30–29Bryant ahead 54%
Bryant by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Northeastern by 30Model: Bryant by 2.3Bryant by 30by 10by 10Northeastern by 30Model: Bryant by 2.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Bryant
ManciniG · 36 min12.94.84.515+ 36%
McNamaraF · 34 min11.95.81.610+ 61%
ScottF · 29 min11.17.81.310+ 56%
WedemeyerG · 26 min9.02.71.910+ 41%
Northeastern
CollinsG · 31 min12.73.32.215+ 35%
TrambleF · 26 min12.16.00.610+ 63%
QuelizG · 32 min11.52.93.210+ 59%
MatthewsG · 30 min7.34.11.35+ 68%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Nia Scott: Bryant 50%Northeastern 50%

The white mark is the call with her: Bryant 57%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsBryant without herChangeProjected score
Bryant
Nia Scott2.350%−761–62
Mia Mancini1.453%−462–61
Izzy Adams0.954%−362–61
Cameron McNamara0.755%−262–61
Northeastern
Justice Tramble0.960%+363–60
Anja Bukvic0.759%+263–60

Change is in Bryant's win chance, in points. Scores read Bryant, then Northeastern. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Bryant 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 11W 53-47at Providence
    2. Nov 8W 63-46at Manhattan
    3. Nov 5W 65-63vs Marist
    4. Nov 2W 75-25vs MIT
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 64.0 and allowing 45.2

    Northeastern 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 11W 61-46at Sacred Heart
    2. Nov 6W 71-61at Boston U
    3. Nov 2L 61-65vs UAlbany
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 64.3 and allowing 57.3

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    BryantNortheastern
    Points scored per 100 possessions88.3 212th88.6 206th
    Points allowed per 10089.9 105th97.9 252nd
    Possessions a game69.9 341st70.8 296th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.0% 91st47.8% 54th
    Opponents' shooting44.9% 148th44.4% 114th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.0% 228th23.9% 215th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.3% 206th33.8% 131st
    Free throws per shot0.21 182nd0.19 285th

    The widest gap: Bryant's defense (105th) against Northeastern's offense (206th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Bryant 30, Northeastern 29
    First-half margin
    Bryant by 1.3
    First-half points, both teams
    58.3
    Projected second half
    Bryant 33, Northeastern 32
    Second-half points, both teams
    64.7
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Bryant, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 35.5 scored, 23.8 allowed
    Northeastern, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 27.3 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Bryant

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Mia ManciniG3612.94.84.51.9
    15+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 51%
    Cameron McNamaraF3411.95.81.60.1
    10+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 45%
    Izzy AdamsG327.93.93.11.1
    10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 57%
    Nia ScottF2911.17.81.30.1
    10+ pts 56% · 8+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 35%
    Martina BobaG285.33.02.30.7
    5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 45%
    Genevive WedemeyerG269.02.71.91.3
    10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 53%

    Northeastern

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Yirsy QuelizG3211.52.93.22.0
    10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 54%
    Camryn CollinsG3112.73.32.21.7
    15+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 45%
    Morgan MatthewsG307.34.11.30.6
    5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 40%
    Justice TrambleF2612.16.00.60.2
    10+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 16%
    Kailee Beaudion-FoliakiG225.72.81.10.3
    5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 30%
    Anja BukvicG203.93.61.20.7
    5+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 46%
    Summer BostockG164.62.30.60.8
    5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 50%
    Maya SummervilleF162.63.71.30.0
    5+ pts 20% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 36%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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