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UIC 34, Ohio State 81

Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Schottenstein Center. UIC our rank 150 · 3-1; Ohio State AP 17, our rank 12 · 3-1.

Who won UIC vs Ohio State?

Final: Ohio State 81, UIC 34. Before tip-off the model gave Ohio State a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 36.2 points for Ohio State. Jaloni Cambridge scored 22 for Ohio State; Julia Coleman had 10 for UIC.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winOhio State >99%UIC <1%
Projected score64–101UIC, then Ohio State
Margin36.2Ohio State · no line posted
Total165.1no line posted
First half29–50Ohio State ahead 95%
Ohio State by 10by 20by 30by 40by 50by 60Ohio State by 70Model: Ohio State by 36.2Ohio State by 10by 30by 50Ohio State by 70Model: Ohio State by 36.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Jaloni Cambridge: UIC 2%Ohio State 98%

The white mark is the call with her: Ohio State >99%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsOhio State without herChangeProjected score
Ohio State
Jaloni Cambridge7.098%−268–97
Kennedy Cambridge6.099%−167–98
Elsa Lemmila5.299%−167–98
Ava Watson4.499%−167–98
UIC
Julia Coleman2.2>99%063–102
Evyn Carrier1.2>99%064–101
Lyla Kahrimanovic0.8>99%064–101
Nevaeh Foster0.7>99%064–101

Change is in Ohio State's win chance, in points. Scores read UIC, then Ohio State. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    UIC

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Ohio State

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    UICOhio State
    Points scored per 100 possessions94.1 126th110.2 22nd
    Points allowed per 10094.7 186th75.3 6th
    Possessions a game70.4 321st74.7 18th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)44.4% 252nd47.3% 76th
    Opponents' shooting43.0% 43rd45.0% 149th
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.5% 183rd24.9% 278th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses36.8% 35th37.8% 18th
    Free throws per shot0.21 210th0.22 160th

    The widest gap: Ohio State's offense (22nd) against UIC's defense (186th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Ohio State led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 16.1 points and the total by 15.3.

    At halftime
    UIC 13, Ohio State 50
    Projected halftime score
    UIC 29, Ohio State 50
    First-half margin
    Ohio State by 20.9
    First-half points, both teams
    78.3
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Ohio State

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kennedy CambridgeG2910620
    Jaloni CambridgeG2822933
    Ava WatsonG266242
    Kylee KittsG247920
    Elsa LemmilaC21151120
    Adriana DiazF192320
    Bryn MartinG185011
    Sydney MobleyF1614300
    Seini HenryG100500

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