FDU at Ohio State
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Schottenstein Center. FDU our rank 168 · 2-2; Ohio State AP 17, our rank 12 · 3-1.
Who will win FDU vs Ohio State?
The model gives Ohio State a >99% chance to beat Fairleigh Dickinson, with a projected score of Ohio State 86, FDU 51.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | |||||
| CambridgeG · 27 min | 20.2 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 20+ 50% | |
| LemmilaC · 24 min | 11.7 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 10+ 60% | |
| WatsonG · 27 min | 10.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 10+ 51% | |
| CambridgeG · 28 min | 10.2 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 10+ 49% | |
| FDU | |||||
| DowneyG · 28 min | 8.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 10+ 40% | |
| CrosbyF · 28 min | 8.0 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 10+ 33% | |
| Osei-OwusuF · 26 min | 6.3 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 5+ 59% | |
| ValleG · 23 min | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jaloni Cambridge: FDU 1%Ohio State 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Ohio State >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Ohio State without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | ||||
| Jaloni Cambridge | 7.0 | 99% | −1 | 55–82 |
| Kennedy Cambridge | 6.0 | 99% | −1 | 54–83 |
| Elsa Lemmila | 5.2 | 99% | −1 | 54–83 |
| Ava Watson | 4.4 | 99% | −1 | 53–84 |
| FDU | ||||
| Rebecca Osei-Owusu | 1.8 | >99% | 0 | 50–87 |
| Leah Crosby | 1.6 | >99% | 0 | 50–87 |
| Reese Downey | 0.6 | >99% | 0 | 51–86 |
Change is in Ohio State's win chance, in points. Scores read FDU, then Ohio State. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
FDU 2-2LLWW
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 67.8 and allowing 68.2
Ohio State 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 55-87vs UConnDidn't cover +9.5 · Under 147.5
- Nov 8W 91-57vs Mercyhurst
- Nov 5W 103-36vs C MichiganCovered −45.5 · Under 143.5
- Nov 2W 81-34vs UIC
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 82.5 and allowing 53.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| FDU | Ohio State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.7 131st | 110.2 22nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.2 223rd | 75.3 6th |
| Possessions a game | 69.4 357th | 74.7 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.8% 107th | 47.3% 76th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.3% 232nd | 45.0% 149th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.0% 66th | 24.9% 278th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 176th | 37.8% 18th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 318th | 0.22 160th |
The widest gap: Ohio State's offense (22nd) against FDU's defense (223rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- FDU 22, Ohio State 43
- First-half margin
- Ohio State by 20.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.9
- Projected second half
- FDU 29, Ohio State 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- FDU, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.5 scored, 33.8 allowed
- Ohio State, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 48.8 scored, 23.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
FDU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese DowneyG | 28 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Leah CrosbyF | 28 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Rebecca Osei-OwusuF | 26 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Ane ValleG | 23 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Theresa BiladiG | 23 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Ophir WeintraubG | 20 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Iriona GravleyF | 16 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 40% | |||||
| Ally KaminskiG | 15 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Ohio State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy CambridgeG | 28 | 10.2 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Jaloni CambridgeG | 27 | 20.2 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 20+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Ava WatsonG | 27 | 10.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Elsa LemmilaC | 24 | 11.7 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Kylee KittsG | 24 | 8.0 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Adriana DiazF | 18 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Bryn MartinG | 17 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Sydney MobleyF | 14 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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