Who won UL Monroe vs Ohio?
Final: Ohio 57, UL Monroe 46. Before tip-off the model gave Ohio a 87% chance to win, with a projected margin of 15.4 points for Ohio. Monica Williams scored 19 for Ohio; Nevaeh Scott had 9 for UL Monroe.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Bailey Tabeling: UL Monroe 16%Ohio 84%
The white mark is the call with her: Ohio 87%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Ohio without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ohio | ||||
| Bailey Tabeling | 1.9 | 84% | −3 | 76–90 |
| Antonicia Moultrie | 1.0 | 85% | −2 | 76–90 |
| ReRe Jennings | 0.8 | 85% | −2 | 76–90 |
| Asiah Baxter | 0.8 | 86% | −1 | 76–90 |
Change is in Ohio's win chance, in points. Scores read UL Monroe, then Ohio. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
UL Monroe
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Ohio
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UL Monroe | Ohio | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 81.7 298th | 86.6 238th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.0 193rd | 90.3 115th |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 115th | 74.3 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.5% 346th | 43.3% 306th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.9% 145th | 44.1% 94th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.8% 274th | 24.8% 275th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.2% 160th | 32.8% 180th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 58th | 0.22 136th |
The widest gap: Ohio's defense (115th) against UL Monroe's offense (298th), of 363 teams.
First half
Ohio led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.9 points and the total by 33.5.
- At halftime
- UL Monroe 19, Ohio 26
- Projected halftime score
- UL Monroe 35, Ohio 44
- First-half margin
- Ohio by 8.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 78.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
UL Monroe
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh ScottG | 32 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Kylee HuntG | 31 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Kayla LindseyG | 23 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Erin HenryG | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Lea NadolnyG | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Summer FaleafaF | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Roge'Ne' HillardC | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Destini WardG | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aiyanna CulverG | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Ohio
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica WilliamsG | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Bailey TabelingG | 32 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Antonicia MoultrieG | 31 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Kamie EllisG | 25 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Asiah BaxterG | 22 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Gigi BowerG | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Danni ScullyF | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Irene Asensio ManosaG | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |