Probable Stats
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Madison St. Rose

Guard, No. 23. She adds 5.7 points a game, 42nd of every rated women's player. Next: DePaul on Saturday.

Projected points15.2
Assists2.7
Rebounds4.4
Threes1.2
Minutes26.7
MarkOur chanceLast 5Last 10Since last season
15+ points50%3/56/1020/30
20+ points24%0/51/105/30
3+ assists48%4/55/1013/30
4+ assists29%2/53/109/30
4+ rebounds59%3/55/1018/30
5+ rebounds43%1/52/1011/30
1+ threes62%3/55/1018/30
2+ threes31%1/53/109/30

Our chance (the blue mark) is the model's for this game: our own projection from minutes, production, the opponent and the pace, not a sportsbook's line. The gray bar and the other columns are simply how often she has done it. How these have done

Season

a game
2026-272025-26
Games228
Minutes27.531.7
Points16.015.8
Assists3.52.2
Rebounds5.04.5
Field goals57.9%47.9%
Threes37.5%27.8%
Free throws100.0%77.0%
Rating, per 100 possessions+9.0+6.2
Offense, defense+6.8, +2.2—
Points a game she adds+5.7—

Without her Notre Dame is about 5.7 points a game worse against a replacement. The rating is what the team gains per 100 possessions with her on the floor. Last season was at Princeton. Try the next game without her

Last 10 games

The blue line is the next game's projection. Every projection stays on its game's page afterwards, right or wrong.

Shots this season

17/28 from the floor
FromMade of takenSt. RoseDivision I
At the rim2/450.0%60%
Paint4/4100.0%41%
Mid-range4/580.0%31%
Corner three0/10.0%31%
Other threes7/1450.0%29%

She has scored 41 on shots usually worth 24.4, 16.6 more than those shots usually bring. Shots from the floor only; how shot luck works.

Game by game

this season, then the end of last season
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstFG3PT
Nov 10vs Detroit MercyWon 108–602919737-102-4
Nov 6vs StonehillWon 123–402613344-91-4
Mar 21, 2026at Oklahoma StateLost 68–823617428-180-2
Mar 14, 2026vs HarvardWon 63–53277343-90-3
Mar 13, 2026vs BrownWon 65–513518436-91-2
Mar 7, 2026vs YaleWon 78–552417317-110-2
Feb 28, 2026at HarvardWon 62–49296203-80-1
Feb 27, 2026at DartmouthWon 97–472413345-123-5
Feb 21, 2026vs BrownWon 69–373630409-153-5
Feb 14, 2026at CornellWon 59–382815705-100-2