DePaul v Notre Dame
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Colonial Hall. DePaul our rank 110 · 4-0; Notre Dame AP 13, our rank 17 · 3-0.
Who will win DePaul vs Notre Dame?
The model gives Notre Dame a 98% chance to beat DePaul, with a projected score of Notre Dame 90, DePaul 66.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | |||||
| HidalgoG · 28 min | 22.7 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 25+ 38% | |
| St. RoseG · 27 min | 15.2 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 15+ 50% | |
| MacyF · 25 min | 15.0 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 15+ 49% | |
| HardyF · 23 min | 13.8 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 15+ 42% | |
| DePaul | |||||
| WardF · 26 min | 10.8 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 10+ 54% | |
| ClarkeG · 25 min | 10.8 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 10+ 54% | |
| LitzaG · 26 min | 10.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 10+ 52% | |
| VolkerF · 24 min | 9.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 10+ 42% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Hannah Hidalgo: DePaul 11%Notre Dame 89%
The white mark is the call with her: Notre Dame 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Notre Dame without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | ||||
| Hannah Hidalgo | 9.1 | 89% | −9 | 70–85 |
| Anaya Hardy | 5.9 | 93% | −5 | 69–87 |
| Madison St. Rose | 5.7 | 93% | −5 | 69–87 |
| Leah Macy | 2.3 | 96% | −2 | 67–89 |
| DePaul | ||||
| Louis Volker | 2.6 | 99% | +1 | 64–91 |
| Kate Clarke | 1.7 | 98% | 0 | 65–91 |
| Zoey Ward | 1.4 | 98% | 0 | 65–91 |
| Mikaia Litza | 1.2 | 98% | 0 | 65–91 |
Change is in Notre Dame's win chance, in points. Scores read DePaul, then Notre Dame. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
DePaul 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 85-65vs N Illinois
- Nov 8W 95-63vs Stonehill
- Nov 6W 87-62vs Purdue FW
- Nov 3W 90-65vs Evansville
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 89.2 and allowing 63.8
Notre Dame 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 108-60vs Detroit Mercy
- Nov 6W 123-40vs StonehillCovered −45.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 1W 99-75vs Villanova
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 110.0 and allowing 58.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| DePaul | Notre Dame | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.2 78th | 113.6 12th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 94.8 189th | 80.8 24th |
| Possessions a game | 74.2 37th | 74.5 24th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.6% 116th | 52.4% 3rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.8% 195th | 42.6% 31st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.5% 187th | 21.1% 22nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 37.0% 30th | 36.7% 39th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 124th | 0.21 219th |
The widest gap: Notre Dame's offense (12th) against DePaul's defense (189th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- DePaul 30, Notre Dame 44
- First-half margin
- Notre Dame by 14.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.8
- Projected second half
- DePaul 36, Notre Dame 46
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- DePaul, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 40.5 scored, 31.8 allowed
- Notre Dame, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 61.5 scored, 21.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
DePaul
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey WardF | 26 | 10.8 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 8+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Ally TimmG | 26 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Mikaia LitzaG | 26 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Kate ClarkeG | 25 | 10.8 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Louis VolkerF | 24 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Gina DavorijaG | 20 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Doyinsola LijirinF | 19 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
| Ofek TalkerNA | 14 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
Notre Dame
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah HidalgoG | 28 | 22.7 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| 25+ pts 38% · 7+ reb 45% · 4+ ast 56% | |||||
| Madison St. RoseG | 27 | 15.2 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Leah MacyF | 25 | 15.0 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jacy AbiiG | 24 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 7+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 55% | |||||
| Anaya HardyF | 23 | 13.8 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 9+ reb 47% | |||||
| Jenica LewisG | 20 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Amari BylesG | 15 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Bella RagoneG | 14 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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