Who will win Bradley vs DePaul?
The model gives DePaul a 79% chance to beat Bradley, with a projected score of DePaul 77, Bradley 67.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DePaul | |||||
| WardF · 27 min | 13.1 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 15+ 37% | |
| ClarkeG · 26 min | 13.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 15+ 37% | |
| LitzaG · 27 min | 12.6 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 15+ 34% | |
| VolkerF · 25 min | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 10+ 55% | |
 Bradley | |||||
| SmithF · 30 min | 12.7 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 15+ 35% | |
| McDermidF · 32 min | 10.8 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 10+ 54% | |
| VeilleuxG · 32 min | 10.0 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 10+ 48% | |
| JonesG · 23 min | 8.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 10+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Louis Volker: Bradley 28%DePaul 72%
The white mark is the call with her: DePaul 79%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | DePaul without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DePaul | ||||
| Louis Volker | 2.6 | 72% | −7 | 68–76 |
| Kate Clarke | 1.7 | 75% | −4 | 68–76 |
| Zoey Ward | 1.4 | 75% | −4 | 68–76 |
| Mikaia Litza | 1.2 | 76% | −3 | 68–76 |
| Bradley | ||||
| Charia Smith | 1.7 | 83% | +4 | 66–78 |
| Ellie McDermid | 1.2 | 82% | +3 | 67–78 |
| Kali Fortson | 0.8 | 81% | +2 | 67–77 |
| Mya Wardle | 0.6 | 80% | +1 | 67–77 |
Change is in DePaul's win chance, in points. Scores read Bradley, then DePaul. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Bradley 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 63.3 and allowing 69.7
DePaul 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 85-65vs N Illinois
- Nov 8W 95-63vs Stonehill
- Nov 6W 87-62vs Purdue FW
- Nov 3W 90-65vs Evansville
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 89.2 and allowing 63.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bradley | DePaul | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.4 144th | 99.2 78th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.1 197th | 94.8 189th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 74.2 37th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.6% 62nd | 46.6% 116th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.0% 83rd | 45.8% 195th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.4% 87th | 23.5% 187th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.4% 336th | 37.0% 30th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 328th | 0.22 124th |
The widest gap: DePaul's offense (78th) against Bradley's defense (197th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bradley 31, DePaul 37
- First-half margin
- DePaul by 5.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.4
- Projected second half
- Bradley 36, DePaul 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bradley, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 32.3 allowed
- DePaul, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 40.5 scored, 31.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bradley
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mya WardleG | 36 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ellie McDermidF | 32 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Alice VeilleuxG | 32 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Charia SmithF | 30 | 12.7 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lila PosthumaG | 24 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Inia JonesG | 23 | 8.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
DePaul
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey WardF | 27 | 13.1 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 9+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Ally TimmG | 27 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 2+ ast 54% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Mikaia LitzaG | 27 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 52% · 5+ ast 50% | |||||
| Kate ClarkeG | 26 | 13.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Louis VolkerF | 25 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 7+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Gina DavorijaG | 21 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Doyinsola LijirinF | 20 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 7+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Ofek TalkerNA | 14 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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