Bradley at Bellarmine
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 5:00 PM ET at Knights Hall. Bradley our rank 170 · 1-2; Bellarmine our rank 352 · 1-3.
Who will win Bradley vs Bellarmine?
The model gives Bradley a 94% chance to beat Bellarmine, with a projected score of Bradley 77, Bellarmine 58.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley | |||||
| SmithF · 29 min | 13.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 15+ 42% | |
| McDermidF · 31 min | 11.7 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 10+ 60% | |
| VeilleuxG · 31 min | 10.9 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 10+ 55% | |
| JonesG · 23 min | 9.4 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 10+ 44% | |
| Bellarmine | |||||
| RalstonG · 24 min | 11.2 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 10+ 57% | |
| Abdel AalC · 23 min | 8.4 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 10+ 36% | |
| HymanF · 26 min | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 5+ 65% | |
| RowlandG · 17 min | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Charia Smith: Bradley 92%Bellarmine 8%
The white mark is the call with her: Bradley 94%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Bradley without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley | ||||
| Charia Smith | 1.7 | 92% | −2 | 76–59 |
| Ellie McDermid | 1.2 | 92% | −2 | 76–59 |
| Kali Fortson | 0.8 | 93% | −1 | 76–59 |
| Mya Wardle | 0.6 | 93% | −1 | 77–59 |
Change is in Bradley's win chance, in points. Scores read Bradley, then Bellarmine. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Bradley 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 63.3 and allowing 69.7
Bellarmine 1-3LWLL
- Nov 10L 66-91at Bowling Green
- Nov 8L 37-92at Miami OH
- Nov 5W 113-49vs Simmons (KY)
- Nov 2L 47-119at Louisville
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 65.8 and allowing 87.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bradley | Bellarmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.4 144th | 76.2 349th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.1 197th | 104.9 347th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 251st | 74.5 24th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.6% 62nd | 43.2% 309th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.0% 83rd | 47.8% 306th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.4% 87th | 29.0% 355th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.4% 336th | 33.1% 165th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 328th | 0.22 136th |
The widest gap: Bradley's offense (144th) against Bellarmine's defense (347th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bradley 37, Bellarmine 27
- First-half margin
- Bradley by 10.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.0
- Projected second half
- Bradley 39, Bellarmine 32
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bradley, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 32.3 allowed
- Bellarmine, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 26.8 scored, 48.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bradley
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mya WardleG | 34 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 7+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Ellie McDermidF | 31 | 11.7 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Alice VeilleuxG | 31 | 10.9 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 51% | |||||
| Charia SmithF | 29 | 13.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Lila PosthumaG | 23 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Inia JonesG | 23 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
Bellarmine
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayce HymanF | 26 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Triniti RalstonG | 24 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Anna RodgersG | 23 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Hana Abdel AalC | 23 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Coumba KeitaG | 22 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Leigha AcoffG | 18 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| Savannah RowlandG | 17 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Haya Abdel AalC | 16 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 51% | |||||
Missed the last game: Tacko Sy (15 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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