Probable Stats
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Kierra Merchant

Guard, No. 2. She adds 1.5 points a game, 756th of every rated women's player. Next: Louisiana on Monday.

Next game: vs Louisiana

Monday, November 16, 7:30 PM ET
Projected points10.4
Assists1.8
Rebounds5.0
Threes1.0
Minutes24.7
MarkOur chanceLast 5Last 10Since last season
10+ points51%1/52/1012/32
15+ points21%1/51/105/32
2+ assists50%4/56/1012/32
3+ assists26%1/51/105/32
5+ rebounds52%2/54/1014/32
6+ rebounds38%1/53/1011/32
1+ threes59%3/54/1013/32
2+ threes28%1/51/103/32

Our chance (the blue mark) is the model's for this game: our own projection from minutes, production, the opponent and the pace, not a sportsbook's line. The gray bar and the other columns are simply how often she has done it. How these have done

Season

a game
2026-272025-26
Games329
Minutes26.722.7
Points9.78.7
Assists1.71.1
Rebounds5.04.3
Field goals44.0%39.9%
Threes33.3%29.2%
Free throws100.0%75.4%
Rating, per 100 possessions+1.0+1.3
Offense, defense−0.2, +1.2—
Points a game she adds+1.5—

Without her UTSA is about 1.5 points a game worse against a replacement. The rating is what the team gains per 100 possessions with her on the floor. Last season was at Houston. Try the next game without her

Last 10 games

The blue line is the next game's projection. Every projection stays on its game's page afterwards, right or wrong.

Shots this season

11/25 from the floor
FromMade of takenMerchantDivision I
At the rim1/1100.0%60%
Paint5/771.4%41%
Mid-range1/520.0%31%
Corner three2/450.0%31%
Other threes2/825.0%29%

She has scored 26 on shots usually worth 20.9, 5.1 more than those shots usually bring. Shots from the floor only; how shot luck works.

Game by game

this season, then the end of last season
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstFG3PT
Nov 11vs Incarnate WordWon 73–512515327-111-3
Nov 8at San Diego StateLost 56–65319523-93-6
Nov 6at UNLVLost 51–69245711-50-3
Mar 4, 2026at BYULost 66–76229233-71-2
Mar 1, 2026vs UCFLost 62–72150120-30-0
Feb 24, 2026at ArizonaLost 67–75148623-71-2
Feb 21, 2026at Arizona StateLost 56–8166001-10-0
Feb 18, 2026vs TCULost 50–72130200-20-1
Feb 14, 2026at KansasLost 68–85114202-40-0
Feb 11, 2026vs ColoradoLost 63–733513625-100-0