Probable Stats
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Michaela Fairwell

Guard, No. 2. She adds 0.5 points a game, 1433rd of every rated women's player. Next: San Francisco on Sunday.

Next game: vs San Francisco

Sunday, November 15, 4:00 PM ET
Projected points8.0
Assists1.5
Rebounds3.2
Threes0.5
Minutes20.5
MarkOur chanceLast 5Last 10Since last season
5+ points73%2/54/106/19
10+ points33%1/51/102/19
2+ assists43%2/52/103/19
3+ assists21%1/51/101/19
3+ rebounds57%1/53/105/19
4+ rebounds39%1/52/104/19
1+ threes38%1/53/105/19
2+ threes10%0/50/101/19

Our chance (the blue mark) is the model's for this game: our own projection from minutes, production, the opponent and the pace, not a sportsbook's line. The gray bar and the other columns are simply how often she has done it. How these have done

Season

a game
2026-272025-26
Games217
Minutes21.59.4
Points13.02.5
Assists2.50.6
Rebounds3.51.6
Field goals57.9%25.5%
Threes50.0%20.0%
Free throws100.0%64.7%
Rating, per 100 possessions−0.8−2.9
Offense, defense−0.3, −0.5—
Points a game she adds+0.5—

Without her UC San Diego is about 0.5 points a game worse against a replacement. The rating is what the team gains per 100 possessions with her on the floor. Try the next game without her

Last 10 games

The blue line is the next game's projection. Every projection stays on its game's page afterwards, right or wrong.

Shots this season

11/19 from the floor
FromMade of takenFairwellDivision I
At the rim3/3100.0%60%
Paint6/1154.5%41%
Mid-range1/333.3%31%
Corner three1/250.0%31%
Other threes0/0—29%

She has scored 23 on shots usually worth 16.5, 6.5 more than those shots usually bring. Shots from the floor only; how shot luck works.

Game by game

this season, then the end of last season
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstFG3PT
Nov 12vs Portland StateWon 78–64229534-100-1
Nov 7vs San DiegoWon 90–882117227-91-1
Mar 20, 2026at TCULost 40–8670010-10-0
Mar 14, 2026vs Hawai'iWon 60–4820010-10-0
Mar 13, 2026vs UC DavisWon 84–7930100-10-0
Mar 7, 2026vs UC Santa BarbaraWon 72–6550410-10-0
Mar 5, 2026vs Cal State FullertonWon 77–6960010-10-1
Feb 28, 2026at Cal PolyWon 85–61167213-61-3
Feb 26, 2026at Cal State BakersfieldWon 85–79199311-11-1
Feb 21, 2026vs UC IrvineLost 68–7081100-30-2