Sam Houston at Wyoming
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Arena-Auditorium. Sam Houston our rank 146 · 2-1; Wyoming our rank 93 · 2-1.
Who will win Sam Houston vs Wyoming?
The model gives Wyoming a 83% chance to beat Sam Houston, with a projected score of Wyoming 82, Sam Houston 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming | |||||
| MeyerG · 27 min | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 15+ 49% | |
| BennettG · 27 min | 10.6 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 10+ 52% | |
| SondorsF · 18 min | 9.7 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 10+ 46% | |
| GoresF · 20 min | 9.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 10+ 43% | |
| Sam Houston | |||||
| ColemanG · 27 min | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 15+ 36% | |
| McDowellG · 26 min | 12.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 65% | |
| BeggG · 26 min | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 10+ 44% | |
| St. BernardF · 27 min | 7.1 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nasir Meyer: Sam Houston 23%Wyoming 77%
The white mark is the call with him: Wyoming 83%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Wyoming without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming | ||||
| Nasir Meyer | 2.6 | 77% | −6 | 72–80 |
| Khaden Bennett | 2.4 | 77% | −6 | 72–80 |
| Uriyah Rojas | 1.7 | 79% | −4 | 72–81 |
| Gavin Gores | 1.5 | 79% | −4 | 71–81 |
| Sam Houston | ||||
| Enel St. Bernard | 1.6 | 86% | +3 | 70–82 |
| Riccardo Greppi | 0.8 | 85% | +2 | 70–82 |
| Jacobe Coleman | 0.8 | 85% | +2 | 70–82 |
Change is in Wyoming's win chance, in points. Scores read Sam Houston, then Wyoming. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Sam Houston 2-1LWW
- Nov 11W 85-77vs PepperdineCovered +3.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 7W 102-59vs Howard Payne
- Nov 3L 74-96at Alabama
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 87.0 and allowing 77.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Wyoming 2-1WWL
- Nov 10L 63-76at North CarolinaDidn't cover +12.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 6W 93-62vs Idaho StCovered −18.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 3W 95-48vs Regis University
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 83.7 and allowing 62.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Sam Houston | Wyoming | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.0 162nd | 110.4 88th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.3 156th | 103.0 96th |
| Possessions a game | 72.4 39th | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.4% 265th | 50.5% 185th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.1% 231st | 49.8% 132nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.8% 265th | 18.5% 229th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.5% 138th | 37.2% 2nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.30 44th | 0.22 340th |
The widest gap: Wyoming's offense (88th) against Sam Houston's defense (156th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Sam Houston 33, Wyoming 39
- First-half margin
- Wyoming by 5.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.4
- Projected second half
- Sam Houston 38, Wyoming 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Sam Houston, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 41.0 scored, 32.7 allowed
- Wyoming, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 26.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Sam Houston
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enel St. BernardF | 27 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jacobe ColemanG | 27 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Aidan McDowellG | 26 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Justin BeggG | 26 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 57% · 4+ ast 45% | |||||
| Zion PipkinG | 20 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Yoda OkeF | 18 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Riccardo GreppiF | 18 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Matt DannF | 12 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 48% | |||||
Wyoming
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaden BennettG | 27 | 10.6 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Nasir MeyerG | 27 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Mike MoraF | 22 | 7.6 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Uriyah RojasG | 21 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Parker GerritsG | 20 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Gavin GoresF | 20 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Renars SondorsF | 18 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Canin JeffersonG | 15 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ ast 59% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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