Who will win Wyoming vs Denver?
The model gives Wyoming a 77% chance to beat Denver, with a projected score of Wyoming 79, Denver 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wyoming | |||||
| MeyerG · 27 min | 14.7 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 15+ 47% | |
| BennettG · 27 min | 10.4 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 10+ 51% | |
| SondorsF · 18 min | 9.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 10+ 44% | |
| GoresF · 20 min | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 10+ 41% | |
 Denver | |||||
| JohnsonG · 36 min | 19.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 20+ 44% | |
| WysockiF · 30 min | 10.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 48% | |
| MartinG · 24 min | 9.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 10+ 44% | |
| Wickstrom StumerF · 26 min | 6.2 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nasir Meyer: Wyoming 70%Denver 30%
The white mark is the call with him: Wyoming 77%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Wyoming without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming | ||||
| Nasir Meyer | 2.6 | 70% | −7 | 77–71 |
| Khaden Bennett | 2.4 | 70% | −7 | 77–71 |
| Uriyah Rojas | 1.7 | 72% | −5 | 78–71 |
| Gavin Gores | 1.5 | 73% | −4 | 78–71 |
| Denver | ||||
| Carson Johnson | 0.9 | 80% | +3 | 79–70 |
Change is in Wyoming's win chance, in points. Scores read Wyoming, then Denver. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Wyoming 2-1WWL
- Nov 10L 63-76at North CarolinaDidn't cover +12.5 · Under 155.5
- Nov 6W 93-62vs Idaho StCovered −18.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 3W 95-48vs Regis University
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 83.7 and allowing 62.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Denver 0-2LL
- Nov 7L 60-64at UC RiversideDidn't cover +1.5 · Under 156.5
- Nov 2L 68-75at Wisconsin
- Last 2
- 0–2, scoring 64.0 and allowing 69.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Wyoming | Denver | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.4 88th | 102.0 222nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.0 96th | 109.2 199th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 71.1 143rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.5% 185th | 50.8% 162nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.8% 132nd | 47.4% 20th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.5% 229th | 18.8% 263rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 37.2% 2nd | 30.8% 245th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 340th | 0.26 159th |
The widest gap: Wyoming's defense (96th) against Denver's offense (222nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Wyoming 37, Denver 33
- First-half margin
- Wyoming by 4.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.8
- Projected second half
- Wyoming 41, Denver 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Wyoming, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 26.0 allowed
- Denver, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 29.5 scored, 33.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Wyoming
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaden BennettG | 27 | 10.4 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Nasir MeyerG | 27 | 14.7 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 5+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Mike MoraF | 22 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Uriyah RojasG | 21 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Parker GerritsG | 20 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Gavin GoresF | 20 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 22% | |||||
| Renars SondorsF | 18 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Canin JeffersonG | 15 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ ast 57% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Denver
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson JohnsonG | 36 | 19.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 20+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Shaun WysockiF | 30 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Oskar Wickstrom StumerF | 26 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Kam MartinG | 24 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Charlie DimmockF | 18 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Logan ThreattG | 18 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Harry BatesF | 16 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Jordan RogersF | 16 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…