Texas A&M-CC at Rice
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Tudor Fieldhouse. Texas A&M-CC our rank 201 · 2-1; Rice our rank 207 · 1-2.
Who will win Texas A&M-CC vs Rice?
The model gives Rice a 60% chance to beat Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, with a projected score of Rice 73, Texas A&M-CC 71.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | |||||
| ThompsonG · 25 min | 11.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 57% | |
| AdkinsG · 22 min | 10.0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 10+ 48% | |
| DarG · 21 min | 9.4 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 10+ 44% | |
| EguagieF · 24 min | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 5+ 69% | |
| Texas A&M-CC | |||||
| Michelini-JacksonG · 22 min | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 10+ 35% | |
| Kent Jr.G · 17 min | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5+ 65% | |
| MukunaF · 22 min | 6.9 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 5+ 64% | |
| BasilF · 17 min | 6.6 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 5+ 62% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jacob Dar: Texas A&M-CC 45%Rice 55%
The white mark is the call with him: Rice 60%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Rice without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | ||||
| Jacob Dar | 1.4 | 55% | −5 | 71–73 |
| Texas A&M-CC | ||||
| Daniel Michelini-Jackson | 0.6 | 62% | +2 | 70–74 |
Change is in Rice's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas A&M-CC, then Rice. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Texas A&M-CC 2-1LWW
- Nov 10W 102-58vs Dallas Christian
- Nov 6W 67-60at LouisianaCovered +3.5 · Under 129.5
- Nov 2L 55-67at Texas St
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.7 and allowing 61.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Rice 1-2WLL
- Nov 9L 73-91at StanfordCovered +18.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 5L 71-72vs East Texas A&MDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 2W 100-55vs Dallas Christian
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 81.3 and allowing 72.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Texas A&M-CC | Rice | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.0 270th | 103.2 196th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.6 141st | 109.9 226th |
| Possessions a game | 69.7 292nd | 70.6 209th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.6% 176th | 48.7% 305th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.5% 47th | 50.5% 189th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.5% 321st | 18.1% 192nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.6% 80th | 31.8% 177th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 60th | 0.25 243rd |
The widest gap: Texas A&M-CC's defense (141st) against Rice's offense (196th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Texas A&M-CC 33, Rice 34
- First-half margin
- Rice by 1.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.5
- Projected second half
- Texas A&M-CC 38, Rice 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 76.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Texas A&M-CC, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 30.3 allowed
- Rice, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 32.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Texas A&M-CC
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan MukunaF | 22 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Daniel Michelini-JacksonG | 22 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Lamin FoonC | 17 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 52% | |||||
| Desmond Kent Jr.G | 17 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Bin BasilF | 17 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Bryson WheatfallG | 17 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Sebastian RobinsonG | 16 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| CJ WorshamF | 15 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
Rice
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxson ThompsonG | 25 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 2+ ast 56% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Eternity EguagieF | 24 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Carmelo AdkinsG | 22 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Jacob DarG | 21 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr.F | 20 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 52% | |||||
| Dallas HobbsG | 20 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Zalan FlasarF | 14 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
| Alexander LeethF | 13 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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