Who will win Bradley vs Pacific?
The model gives Pacific a 70% chance to beat Bradley, with a projected score of Pacific 69, Bradley 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pacific | |||||
| PittF · 29 min | 12.4 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 10+ 65% | |
| WinstonG · 29 min | 11.8 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 10+ 61% | |
| NyorhaG · 34 min | 11.1 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 10+ 56% | |
| ThompsonF · 22 min | 6.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 5+ 63% | |
 Bradley | |||||
| PaytonG · 33 min | 11.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 10+ 57% | |
| ThornbrueF · 25 min | 8.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10+ 36% | |
| AlarieF · 23 min | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 5+ 65% | |
| IbukunoluwaF · 24 min | 6.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 5+ 62% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Adriel Nyorha: Bradley 35%Pacific 65%
The white mark is the call with him: Pacific 70%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Pacific without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | ||||
| Adriel Nyorha | 1.5 | 65% | −5 | 64–69 |
| Jaion Pitt | 1.4 | 66% | −4 | 64–69 |
| Jaylen Thompson | 0.7 | 68% | −2 | 64–69 |
| Bradley | ||||
| Timoty van der Knaap | 0.9 | 73% | +3 | 63–70 |
| Dietrich Richardson | 0.7 | 72% | +2 | 63–70 |
Change is in Pacific's win chance, in points. Scores read Bradley, then Pacific. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Bradley 2-2WLLW
- Nov 12W 56-54vs Coppin StDidn't cover −13.5 · Under 131.5
- Nov 10L 45-62at DavidsonDidn't cover +10.5 · Under 138.5
- Nov 7L 52-63vs PacificDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 2W 85-41vs Monmouth (IL)
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 59.5 and allowing 55.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–3
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 3 under
Pacific 2-1WWL
- Nov 11L 59-62at Long Beach StDidn't cover −5.5 · Under 138.5
- Nov 7W 63-52at BradleyCovered +1.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 3W 102-47vs Bethesda
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 74.7 and allowing 53.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bradley | Pacific | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.3 311th | 102.1 220th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 104.1 104th | 105.0 117th |
| Possessions a game | 69.5 307th | 69.1 331st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.4% 358th | 50.2% 209th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.9% 32nd | 46.6% 9th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.4% 363rd | 18.9% 274th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.9% 111th | 34.5% 32nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 255th | 0.25 219th |
The widest gap: Pacific's defense (117th) against Bradley's offense (311th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bradley 29, Pacific 33
- First-half margin
- Pacific by 3.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.2
- Projected second half
- Bradley 34, Pacific 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bradley, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 27.0 scored, 28.0 allowed
- Pacific, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 25.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bradley
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon PaytonG | 33 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Ben ThornbrueF | 25 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Timoty van der KnaapG | 24 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Noah WilliamsF | 24 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Josh IbukunoluwaF | 24 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Xander AlarieF | 23 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 6+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Max GaspaG | 23 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Kyle GrillG | 16 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Missed the last game: Josh Ibukunoluwa (27 min a game).
Pacific
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel NyorhaG | 34 | 11.1 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 51% | |||||
| Gavin RippF | 30 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Jaion PittF | 29 | 12.4 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Jaden WinstonG | 29 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| CJ JonesG | 26 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jaylen ThompsonF | 22 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Dominick HarrisG | 13 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jorge CarotF | 12 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 29% to play · 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
Missed the last game: Jorge Carot (15 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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