LMU v Alabama A&M
Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Stan Sheriff Center. LMU our rank 95 · 3-0; Alabama A&M our rank 329 · 1-2.
Who will win LMU vs Alabama A&M?
The model gives Loyola Marymount a 96% chance to beat Alabama A&M, with a projected score of LMU 76, Alabama A&M 53.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | |||||
| HernandezF · 22 min | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 15+ 37% | |
| NordstromG · 25 min | 12.5 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 10+ 65% | |
| JonesF · 21 min | 10.2 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 10+ 49% | |
| PowellG · 19 min | 10.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 10+ 49% | |
| Alabama A&M | |||||
| NicholsonF · 26 min | 7.3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 5+ 68% | |
| WhiteG · 26 min | 6.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5+ 62% | |
| WimberlyG · 20 min | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5+ 51% | |
| KelleyG · 17 min | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Maya Hernandez: LMU 94%Alabama A&M 6%
The white mark is the call with her: LMU 96%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | LMU without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | ||||
| Maya Hernandez | 2.8 | 94% | −2 | 75–54 |
| Shawnee Nordstrom | 1.8 | 95% | −1 | 75–54 |
| Kayla Jones | 1.6 | 95% | −1 | 76–54 |
| Danae Powell | 1.5 | 95% | −1 | 76–54 |
Change is in LMU's win chance, in points. Scores read LMU, then Alabama A&M. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
LMU 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 118-37vs La Sierra
- Nov 6W 70-45at Utah State
- Nov 2W 89-64vs Nevada
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 92.3 and allowing 48.7
Alabama A&M 1-2LLW
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 59.0 and allowing 72.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| LMU | Alabama A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.3 88th | 78.0 336th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 90.6 118th | 99.1 283rd |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 164th | 71.5 225th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.9% 99th | 44.4% 260th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.2% 226th | 48.7% 334th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.5% 100th | 23.7% 198th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.9% 125th | 31.3% 264th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 140th | 0.21 199th |
The widest gap: LMU's defense (118th) against Alabama A&M's offense (336th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- LMU 37, Alabama A&M 24
- First-half margin
- LMU by 13.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.3
- Projected second half
- LMU 39, Alabama A&M 29
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- LMU, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 44.7 scored, 23.7 allowed
- Alabama A&M, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 34.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
LMU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawnee NordstromG | 25 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 46% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Maya HernandezF | 22 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Kayla JonesF | 21 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Allison ClarkeG | 20 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Ivana KrajinaG | 20 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 2+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Danae PowellG | 19 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Sarah DengG | 18 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Ali'a MatavaoF | 15 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
Alabama A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asianae NicholsonF | 26 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 8+ reb 46% | |||||
| Skylar WhiteG | 26 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Alisha MurrayG | 20 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Tazi HarrisF | 20 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 58% | |||||
| Vanessa WimberlyG | 20 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Kalea RaineyG | 17 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Miracle AkpotayoboF | 17 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
| Janessa KelleyG | 17 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 22% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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