Who will win Canisius vs Syracuse?
The model gives Syracuse a >99% chance to beat Canisius, with a projected score of Syracuse 82, Canisius 48.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Syracuse | |||||
| IzojeC · 26 min | 18.1 | 9.7 | 1.5 | 20+ 39% | |
| SkinnerG · 21 min | 12.0 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 10+ 62% | |
| RodriguezG · 22 min | 10.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 10+ 52% | |
| RambusF · 21 min | 9.7 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 46% | |
 Canisius | |||||
| VitucciG · 24 min | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| GailesF · 19 min | 8.4 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 10+ 36% | |
| HuppF · 24 min | 6.6 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 5+ 62% | |
| DjibrilF · 21 min | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 5+ 53% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Uche Izoje: Canisius 1%Syracuse 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Syracuse >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Syracuse without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse | ||||
| Uche Izoje | 5.1 | 99% | −1 | 51–79 |
| Emely Rodriguez | 2.7 | 99% | −1 | 50–80 |
| Sarah Rambus | 2.4 | 99% | −1 | 50–80 |
| Jaleesa Molina | 1.9 | 99% | −1 | 49–81 |
Change is in Syracuse's win chance, in points. Scores read Canisius, then Syracuse. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Canisius 2-0WW
- Nov 8W 73-61vs UMass Lowell
- Nov 5W 52-48at New Hampshire
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 62.5 and allowing 54.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Canisius | Syracuse | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 81.4 303rd | 101.8 62nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.6 263rd | 83.7 53rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 272nd | 73.1 92nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.9% 212th | 44.4% 252nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.8% 140th | 44.1% 98th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.5% 260th | 22.1% 68th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.6% 94th | 35.2% 73rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 25th | 0.17 346th |
The widest gap: Syracuse's defense (53rd) against Canisius's offense (303rd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Canisius 21, Syracuse 40
- First-half margin
- Syracuse by 19.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.6
- Projected second half
- Canisius 27, Syracuse 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Canisius, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 28.5 scored, 27.0 allowed
- Syracuse, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 44.3 scored, 24.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Canisius
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia VitucciG | 24 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Maria Sanchez PitarchG | 24 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 33% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Aubree HuppF | 24 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Yasmine DjibrilF | 21 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Corniya ClayG | 20 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Shariah GailesF | 19 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Mary CoppleG | 17 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Celena GrantG | 16 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
Syracuse
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uche IzojeC | 26 | 18.1 | 9.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| 20+ pts 39% · 10+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Emely RodriguezG | 22 | 10.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Sarah RambusF | 21 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Tyi SkinnerG | 21 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 40% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Keira ScottF | 20 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Jaleesa MolinaF | 18 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Celaine RiccoF | 16 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Angelica VelezG | 15 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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