Who will win Morgan St vs NC A&T?
The model gives North Carolina A&T a 83% chance to beat Morgan State, with a projected score of NC A&T 79, Morgan St 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC A&T | |||||
| JamesG · 32 min | 17.3 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 15+ 62% | |
| Delgardo IIIG · 29 min | 11.4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 10+ 58% | |
| FeltonC · 24 min | 9.6 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 10+ 45% | |
| SimleyF · 21 min | 8.9 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 10+ 40% | |
 Morgan St | |||||
| Worrell Jr.G · 29 min | 19.2 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 20+ 45% | |
| RichardG · 31 min | 12.3 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 10+ 64% | |
| KwartengG · 22 min | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 5+ 64% | |
| TraoreF · 24 min | 6.2 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Will Felton: Morgan St 18%NC A&T 82%
The white mark is the call with him: NC A&T 83%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | NC A&T without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC A&T | ||||
| Will Felton | 0.6 | 82% | −1 | 68–79 |
Change is in NC A&T's win chance, in points. Scores read Morgan St, then NC A&T. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Morgan St 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 70-85at UMBCDidn't cover +7.5 · Under 159.5
- Nov 7W 73-67at NiagaraCovered +3.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 4W 95-58vs Virginia Lynchburg
- Nov 2W 103-52vs Cheyney (PA)
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 85.2 and allowing 65.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
NC A&T 1-2WLL
- Nov 11L 67-72at East CarolinaCovered +11.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 7L 70-80at OhioCovered +14.5 · Under 161.5
- Nov 3W 92-53vs Warren Wilson
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.3 and allowing 68.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Morgan St | NC A&T | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.1 360th | 99.3 286th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.1 292nd | 109.1 197th |
| Possessions a game | 73.0 22nd | 71.3 121st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.7% 304th | 47.6% 344th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.7% 128th | 49.8% 130th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.6% 323rd | 17.6% 124th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.1% 97th | 33.3% 92nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 16th | 0.32 13th |
The widest gap: NC A&T's defense (197th) against Morgan St's offense (360th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Morgan St 32, NC A&T 37
- First-half margin
- NC A&T by 6.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.0
- Projected second half
- Morgan St 37, NC A&T 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Morgan St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 44.5 scored, 31.8 allowed
- NC A&T, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 29.5 scored, 36.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Morgan St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith RichardG | 31 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Alfred Worrell Jr.G | 29 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| 20+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 49% · 3+ threes 44% | |||||
| Trent EdwardsF | 24 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Ibrahima TraoreF | 24 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Jeremiah KwartengG | 22 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| John AwokeG | 22 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Oliver SpenceF | 11 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 40% | |||||
| Khali HortonF | 11 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
NC A&T
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce JamesG | 32 | 17.3 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 55% | |||||
| Danny Delgardo IIIG | 29 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Will FeltonC | 24 | 9.6 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 7+ reb 55% | |||||
| Saxton SimleyF | 21 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
| Mujahiid BurtonG | 18 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Matthew WebsterF | 17 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Vasileios PourlidasG | 16 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Shane LancasterG | 15 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 34% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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