Who will win NC A&T vs SC State?
The model gives South Carolina State a 50% chance to beat North Carolina A&T, with a projected score of SC State 73, NC A&T 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC State | |||||
| TreadwellG · 25 min | 11.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 10+ 60% | |
| TaylorG · 20 min | 8.8 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 10+ 39% | |
| Jackson Jr.PG · 26 min | 7.9 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10+ 33% | |
| TindalF · 19 min | 7.4 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 5+ 68% | |
 NC A&T | |||||
| JamesG · 33 min | 16.9 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 15+ 60% | |
| Delgardo IIIG · 30 min | 11.0 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 10+ 56% | |
| FeltonC · 25 min | 9.1 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 10+ 42% | |
| SimleyF · 21 min | 8.5 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 10+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mitchell Taylor: NC A&T 52%SC State 48%
The white mark is the call with him: SC State 50%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | SC State without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC State | ||||
| Mitchell Taylor | 0.5 | 48% | −2 | 73–73 |
| NC A&T | ||||
| Will Felton | 0.6 | 53% | +3 | 73–73 |
Change is in SC State's win chance, in points. Scores read NC A&T, then SC State. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
NC A&T 1-2WLL
- Nov 11L 67-72at East CarolinaCovered +11.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 7L 70-80at OhioCovered +14.5 · Under 161.5
- Nov 3W 92-53vs Warren Wilson
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 76.3 and allowing 68.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
SC State 3-1WWWL
- Nov 11L 59-99at Notre DameDidn't cover +26.5 · Over 149.5
- Nov 9W 82-67at Chicago StCovered +2.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 6W 78-70at SC UpstateCovered +3.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 2W 94-55vs Morris
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 78.2 and allowing 72.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| NC A&T | SC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.3 286th | 96.1 323rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.1 197th | 109.0 194th |
| Possessions a game | 71.3 121st | 72.3 49th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.6% 344th | 49.2% 277th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.8% 130th | 49.5% 112th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.6% 124th | 15.4% 3rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.3% 92nd | 30.8% 250th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 13th | 0.26 197th |
The widest gap: NC A&T's defense (197th) against SC State's offense (323rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- NC A&T 34, SC State 34
- First-half margin
- Tied
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.6
- Projected second half
- NC A&T 39, SC State 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 77.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- NC A&T, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 29.5 scored, 36.5 allowed
- SC State, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 40.5 scored, 36.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
NC A&T
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce JamesG | 33 | 16.9 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 49% | |||||
| Danny Delgardo IIIG | 30 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Will FeltonC | 25 | 9.1 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 7+ reb 52% | |||||
| Saxton SimleyF | 21 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Mujahiid BurtonG | 18 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Matthew WebsterF | 17 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Vasileios PourlidasG | 16 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Shane LancasterG | 14 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 31% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
SC State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShaun Jackson Jr.PG | 26 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 54% | |||||
| Noah TreadwellG | 25 | 11.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 3.2 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 51% · 3+ threes 55% | |||||
| Mitchell TaylorG | 20 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Teon TindalF | 19 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 50% | |||||
| Treven RaymonF | 17 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Derwin Hodge Jr.F | 16 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 26% | |||||
| Chris ParkerF | 15 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Christian BarnesPG | 13 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…