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Wyoming v Duquesne

Sunday, November 22, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Ocean Center. Wyoming our rank 93 · 2-1; Duquesne our rank 117 · 3-0.

Who will win Wyoming vs Duquesne?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Wyoming a 65% chance to beat Duquesne, with a projected score of Wyoming 76, Duquesne 71.

To winWyoming 65%Duquesne 35%
Projected score76–71Wyoming, then Duquesne
Margin4.5Wyoming · no line posted
Total146.7no line posted
First half36–33Wyoming ahead 58%
Wyoming by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Duquesne by 30Model: Wyoming by 4.5Wyoming by 30by 10by 10Duquesne by 30Model: Wyoming by 4.5

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Wyoming
MeyerG · 28 min14.45.12.715+ 45%
BennettG · 28 min10.25.42.610+ 49%
SondorsF · 18 min9.13.10.610+ 41%
GoresF · 19 min8.73.90.610+ 39%
Duquesne
BermanF · 33 min12.74.52.715+ 35%
KonanF · 31 min10.26.12.310+ 50%
SmithG · 18 min9.31.41.010+ 43%
LawsonG · 27 min8.43.81.310+ 37%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Nasir Meyer: Wyoming 57%Duquesne 43%

The white mark is the call with him: Wyoming 65%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsWyoming without himChangeProjected score
Wyoming
Nasir Meyer2.657%−874–72
Khaden Bennett2.457%−874–72
Uriyah Rojas1.760%−575–72
Gavin Gores1.560%−575–72
Duquesne
Kerem Konan1.871%+676–70
Yoav Berman1.570%+576–70
Ege Demir1.169%+476–71
Izaiah Pasha1.169%+476–71

Change is in Wyoming's win chance, in points. Scores read Wyoming, then Duquesne. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Wyoming 2-1WWL

    1. Nov 10L 63-76at North CarolinaDidn't cover +12.5 · Under 155.5
    2. Nov 6W 93-62vs Idaho StCovered −18.5 · Over 146.5
    3. Nov 3W 95-48vs Regis University
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 83.7 and allowing 62.0
    Against the spread, this season
    1–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    Duquesne 3-0WWW

    1. Nov 10W 72-71vs Washington StDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 145.5
    2. Nov 7W 68-58vs Central State
    3. Nov 3W 78-71vs Purdue FW
    Last 3
    3–0, scoring 72.7 and allowing 66.7
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    WyomingDuquesne
    Points scored per 100 possessions110.4 88th105.8 145th
    Points allowed per 100103.0 96th104.3 106th
    Possessions a game70.0 266th70.4 222nd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)50.5% 185th50.2% 206th
    Opponents' shooting49.8% 132nd52.6% 313th
    Turnovers, share of possessions18.5% 229th19.4% 314th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses37.2% 2nd32.6% 128th
    Free throws per shot0.22 340th0.28 97th

    The widest gap: Wyoming's defense (96th) against Duquesne's offense (145th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Wyoming 36, Duquesne 33
    First-half margin
    Wyoming by 2.4
    First-half points, both teams
    68.8
    Projected second half
    Wyoming 40, Duquesne 38
    Second-half points, both teams
    77.9
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Wyoming, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 26.0 allowed
    Duquesne, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 32.3 scored, 35.3 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Wyoming

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Khaden BennettG2810.25.42.61.2
    10+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 46%
    Nasir MeyerG2814.45.12.71.4
    15+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 49%
    Mike MoraF227.24.51.60.9
    5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 46%
    Uriyah RojasG216.13.12.01.1
    5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 55%
    Parker GerritsG205.12.51.80.8
    5+ pts 47% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 50%
    Gavin GoresF198.73.90.60.3
    10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 22%
    Renars SondorsF189.13.10.61.8
    10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 48%
    Canin JeffersonG155.81.11.90.5
    5+ pts 54% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 38%

    Duquesne

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Yoav BermanF3312.74.52.71.3
    15+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 48%
    Kerem KonanF3110.26.12.30.5
    10+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 39%
    Arness LawsonG278.43.81.30.5
    10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 40%
    Izaiah PashaG234.62.11.50.6
    5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44%
    Ege DemirC205.05.10.70.0
    5+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 15%
    Josh SmithG189.31.41.01.2
    10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 37% · 1+ threes 64%
    Jake DiMicheleG174.71.21.00.6
    5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 32% · 1+ threes 44%
    Stephen OlowoniyiF144.72.30.30.1
    5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 61%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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