Who will win Miami OH vs UIC?
The model gives UIC a 60% chance to beat Miami (OH), with a projected score of UIC 78, Miami OH 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UIC | |||||
| Washington Jr.G · 28 min | 14.1 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 15+ 43% | |
| Henderson IIG · 24 min | 12.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 15+ 35% | |
| LoweryG · 29 min | 10.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 10+ 48% | |
| GealerG · 26 min | 9.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 10+ 44% | |
 Miami OH | |||||
| IpsaroG · 30 min | 13.2 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 15+ 38% | |
| AtlasonF · 32 min | 13.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 15+ 37% | |
| SkaljacG · 29 min | 12.2 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10+ 63% | |
| ElamG · 26 min | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 10+ 53% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Benny Gealer: Miami OH 47%UIC 53%
The white mark is the call with him: UIC 60%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | UIC without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UIC | ||||
| Benny Gealer | 1.9 | 53% | −7 | 76–77 |
| Rashund Washington Jr. | 1.9 | 54% | −6 | 76–77 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 1.8 | 54% | −6 | 76–77 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 1.5 | 55% | −5 | 76–77 |
| Miami OH | ||||
| Luke Skaljac | 2.2 | 67% | +7 | 74–79 |
| Antwone Woolfolk | 1.9 | 67% | +7 | 74–79 |
| Evan Ipsaro | 1.7 | 66% | +6 | 74–79 |
| Almar Atlason | 1.1 | 64% | +4 | 75–79 |
Change is in UIC's win chance, in points. Scores read Miami OH, then UIC. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Miami OH 2-0WW
- Nov 7W 80-73vs BellarmineDidn't cover −20.5 · Under 159.5
- Nov 2W 86-77at James Madison
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 75.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
UIC 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 82-72vs UNC GreensboroDidn't cover −19.5 · Over 148.5
- Nov 6W 79-56vs Robert MorrisCovered −10.5 · Under 143.5
- Nov 2W 96-47vs St. Francis (IL)
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 85.7 and allowing 58.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Miami OH | UIC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.0 102nd | 109.3 97th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.6 142nd | 103.1 97th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 63rd | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.8% 158th | 50.4% 192nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.5% 113th | 51.2% 239th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.1% 73rd | 17.1% 79th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.4% 142nd | 32.3% 149th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 91st | 0.27 129th |
The widest gap: UIC's offense (97th) against Miami OH's defense (142nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Miami OH 35, UIC 37
- First-half margin
- UIC by 1.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.9
- Projected second half
- Miami OH 40, UIC 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Miami OH, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 35.5 scored, 36.0 allowed
- UIC, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.0 scored, 31.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Miami OH
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almar AtlasonF | 32 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Evan IpsaroG | 30 | 13.2 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 40% · 4+ ast 44% | |||||
| Luke SkaljacG | 29 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| 41% to play · 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 52% · 4+ ast 55% | |||||
| Justin KirbyG | 28 | 10.2 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Antwone WoolfolkF | 27 | 9.0 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Stevie ElamG | 26 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Kyle WaltzF | 23 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Tyler RobbinsF | 11 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
UIC
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekhi LoweryG | 29 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Rashund Washington Jr.G | 28 | 14.1 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Benny GealerG | 26 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Jayce NathanielF | 26 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Gabe CuppsG | 26 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ahmad Henderson IIG | 24 | 12.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Lucas ScrogginsF | 18 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 44% | |||||
| Elijah GarrettG | 15 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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