Virginia Tech v Oklahoma St
Sunday, November 22, 2026, 3:30 PM ET at TD Arena. Virginia Tech our rank 53 · 3-0; Oklahoma St our rank 37 · 2-1.
Who will win Virginia Tech vs Oklahoma St?
The model gives Oklahoma State a 56% chance to beat Virginia Tech, with a projected score of Oklahoma St 80, Virginia Tech 78.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | |||||
| BurksF · 23 min | 10.7 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 10+ 53% | |
| HalaifonuaC · 21 min | 10.1 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 10+ 49% | |
| FelesiG · 27 min | 10.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 10+ 48% | |
| WalkerG · 24 min | 9.2 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 10+ 42% | |
| Virginia Tech | |||||
| HammondG · 32 min | 19.4 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 20+ 46% | |
| HansberryF · 34 min | 17.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 20+ 38% | |
| CurryG · 30 min | 16.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 15+ 56% | |
| ElohimG · 26 min | 11.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 10+ 55% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jordan Burks: Virginia Tech 55%Oklahoma St 45%
The white mark is the call with him: Oklahoma St 56%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Oklahoma St without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | ||||
| Jordan Burks | 3.0 | 45% | −11 | 80–79 |
| Kashie Natt | 3.0 | 45% | −11 | 80–79 |
| Julius Halaifonua | 2.5 | 47% | −9 | 80–79 |
| Kanye Clary | 2.1 | 48% | −8 | 79–79 |
| Virginia Tech | ||||
| Amani Hansberry | 3.6 | 70% | +14 | 77–82 |
| Ben Hammond | 3.4 | 69% | +13 | 77–82 |
| Jaylen Curry | 2.4 | 66% | +10 | 77–81 |
| Tyler Johnson | 2.2 | 65% | +9 | 77–81 |
Change is in Oklahoma St's win chance, in points. Scores read Virginia Tech, then Oklahoma St. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Virginia Tech 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 93-88vs IowaCovered +3.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 5W 96-67vs MercerCovered −20.5 · Over 154.5
- Nov 3W 88-54vs Coppin St
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 92.3 and allowing 69.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Oklahoma St 2-1WWL
- Nov 12L 69-88at Texas A&MDidn't cover +8.5 · Under 179.5
- Nov 6W 118-68vs QueensCovered −18.5 · Over 178.5
- Nov 2W 91-60vs Incarnate Word
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 92.7 and allowing 72.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Virginia Tech | Oklahoma St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.8 45th | 114.9 54th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.4 67th | 97.5 36th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 196th | 73.5 7th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.3% 26th | 51.2% 133rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.8% 132nd | 50.6% 191st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.5% 27th | 17.2% 86th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.0% 107th | 35.8% 12th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 79th | 0.28 101st |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Virginia Tech 37, Oklahoma St 38
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma St by 0.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.4
- Projected second half
- Virginia Tech 42, Oklahoma St 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 84.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Virginia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 46.0 scored, 25.5 allowed
- Oklahoma St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 47.7 scored, 32.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Virginia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amani HansberryF | 34 | 17.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 38% · 7+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Ben HammondG | 32 | 19.4 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| 20+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 57% | |||||
| Jaylen CurryG | 30 | 16.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 57% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Tyler JohnsonG | 27 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Isaiah ElohimG | 26 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Miles HeideF | 17 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 55% | |||||
| Butta JohnsonG | 17 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Musa SagniaC | 11 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3+ reb 42% | |||||
Oklahoma St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony FelesiG | 27 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jacob WalkerG | 24 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 43% · 5+ ast 44% | |||||
| Jordan BurksF | 23 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Kashie NattG | 23 | 8.9 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Julius HalaifonuaC | 21 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Kanye ClaryG | 20 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 55% | |||||
| Andrija GrbovicF | 17 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Latrell AllmondF | 14 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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