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Sacred Heart at Rutgers

Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Jersey Mike’s Arena. Sacred Heart our rank 303 · 2-2; Rutgers our rank 66 · 2-0.

Who will win Sacred Heart vs Rutgers?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Rutgers a 98% chance to beat Sacred Heart, with a projected score of Rutgers 89, Sacred Heart 65.

To winRutgers 98%Sacred Heart 2%
Projected score65–89Sacred Heart, then Rutgers
Margin23.9Rutgers · no line posted
Total153.4no line posted
First half29–43Rutgers ahead 89%
Sacred Heart by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Rutgers by 50Model: Rutgers by 23.9Sacred Heart by 10by 10by 30Rutgers by 50Model: Rutgers by 23.9

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Rutgers
FrancisG · 25 min16.82.03.815+ 60%
Smith Jr.G · 20 min12.74.20.915+ 35%
MarkG · 20 min9.93.72.310+ 48%
GurdakC · 19 min9.55.10.910+ 45%
Sacred Heart
RobinsonF · 29 min11.04.61.310+ 55%
BarroukG · 28 min9.64.40.810+ 45%
WallaceG · 23 min9.52.50.710+ 44%
SlaughterG · 28 min8.24.22.210+ 35%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Tariq Francis: Sacred Heart 3%Rutgers 97%

The white mark is the call with him: Rutgers 98%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsRutgers without himChangeProjected score
Rutgers
Tariq Francis2.997%−166–87
Christian Gurdak2.097%−166–88
Darren Buchanan Jr.1.797%−166–88
Jamichael Davis1.797%−166–88

Change is in Rutgers's win chance, in points. Scores read Sacred Heart, then Rutgers. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Sacred Heart 2-2WLWL

    1. Nov 12L 75-79vs C ConnecticutDidn't cover −6.5 · Over 144.5
    2. Nov 8W 81-76at New HampshireCovered +1.5 · Over 145.5
    3. Nov 5L 72-74vs MaineDidn't cover −5.5 · Over 142.5
    4. Nov 2W 111-44vs Coast Guard
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 84.8 and allowing 68.2
    Against the spread, this season
    1–2
    Totals, this season
    3 over, 0 under

    Rutgers 2-0WW

    1. Nov 10W 101-64vs NJITCovered −25.5 · Over 143.5
    2. Nov 6W 81-54vs New HavenCovered −24.5 · Under 137.5
    Last 2
    2–0, scoring 91.0 and allowing 59.0
    Against the spread, this season
    2–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    Sacred HeartRutgers
    Points scored per 100 possessions99.2 288th114.1 60th
    Points allowed per 100112.9 308th101.7 78th
    Possessions a game71.1 143rd71.0 157th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)48.9% 295th52.1% 79th
    Opponents' shooting52.1% 291st49.5% 108th
    Turnovers, share of possessions16.6% 36th17.4% 109th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.8% 247th31.3% 211th
    Free throws per shot0.25 222nd0.29 49th

    The widest gap: Rutgers's offense (60th) against Sacred Heart's defense (308th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Sacred Heart 29, Rutgers 43
    First-half margin
    Rutgers by 13.1
    First-half points, both teams
    72.0
    Projected second half
    Sacred Heart 35, Rutgers 46
    Second-half points, both teams
    81.4
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Sacred Heart, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 40.2 scored, 26.2 allowed
    Rutgers, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 2 · 42.5 scored, 24.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Sacred Heart

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jaylen RobinsonF2911.04.61.30.1
    10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 36%
    Jaden SlaughterG288.24.22.20.3
    10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 61%
    Kedrick CurtisF288.16.01.40.5
    10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 39%
    Griffin BarroukG289.64.40.82.5
    10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 43% · 3+ threes 43%
    Jojo WallaceG239.52.50.71.2
    10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 64%
    Jo Van BuggenhoutG193.42.22.30.6
    5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 43%
    Samson ReillyG187.11.30.61.3
    5+ pts 66% · 2+ reb 34% · 2+ threes 35%
    Abdou YaddF134.52.30.30.6
    5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 45%

    Rutgers

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Tariq FrancisG2516.82.03.81.7
    15+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 50%
    Darren Buchanan Jr.G238.84.22.60.3
    10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 47%
    Lino MarkG209.93.72.30.8
    10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 50%
    Jamichael DavisG208.72.72.10.7
    10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 50%
    Darin Smith Jr.G2012.74.20.91.5
    15+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 42%
    Christian GurdakC199.55.10.90.0
    10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 22%
    Rasheed JonesG189.52.31.61.4
    10+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 44%
    Diego GaravagliaG133.82.21.10.6
    5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 42%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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