Sacred Heart at Providence
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Amica Mutual Pavilion. Sacred Heart our rank 303 · 2-2; Providence our rank 65 · 2-1.
Who will win Sacred Heart vs Providence?
The model gives Providence a 98% chance to beat Sacred Heart, with a projected score of Providence 87, Sacred Heart 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence | |||||
| VanterpoolG · 24 min | 14.9 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 15+ 48% | |
| MackG · 29 min | 13.8 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 15+ 42% | |
| ByrdG · 27 min | 10.4 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 10+ 51% | |
| BannarbieF · 25 min | 9.7 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| Sacred Heart | |||||
| RobinsonF · 29 min | 10.8 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 54% | |
| BarroukG · 28 min | 9.4 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 10+ 44% | |
| WallaceG · 23 min | 9.4 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10+ 43% | |
| SlaughterG · 28 min | 8.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 10+ 34% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Miles Byrd: Sacred Heart 3%Providence 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Providence 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Providence without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence | ||||
| Miles Byrd | 3.3 | 97% | −1 | 65–85 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 2.6 | 97% | −1 | 65–86 |
| Malik Mack | 2.3 | 97% | −1 | 65–86 |
| Gavin Hightower | 2.2 | 97% | −1 | 64–86 |
Change is in Providence's win chance, in points. Scores read Sacred Heart, then Providence. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Sacred Heart 2-2WLWL
- Nov 12L 75-79vs C ConnecticutDidn't cover −6.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 8W 81-76at New HampshireCovered +1.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 5L 72-74vs MaineDidn't cover −5.5 · Over 142.5
- Nov 2W 111-44vs Coast Guard
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 84.8 and allowing 68.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 3 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Sacred Heart | Providence | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.2 288th | 110.1 89th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.9 308th | 97.6 37th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 72.4 39th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 295th | 49.3% 270th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 291st | 50.3% 168th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.6% 36th | 19.1% 290th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 247th | 33.8% 67th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 222nd | 0.22 351st |
The widest gap: Providence's defense (37th) against Sacred Heart's offense (288th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Sacred Heart 29, Providence 42
- First-half margin
- Providence by 13.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.6
- Projected second half
- Sacred Heart 35, Providence 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Sacred Heart, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 40.2 scored, 26.2 allowed
- Providence, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 32.3 scored, 27.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Sacred Heart
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen RobinsonF | 29 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Jaden SlaughterG | 28 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Kedrick CurtisF | 28 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 6+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Griffin BarroukG | 28 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 58% · 3+ threes 42% | |||||
| Jojo WallaceG | 23 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Jo Van BuggenhoutG | 19 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Samson ReillyG | 18 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 33% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Abdou YaddF | 13 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
Providence
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik MackG | 29 | 13.8 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 4+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Gavin HightowerG | 27 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 48% | |||||
| Miles ByrdG | 27 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Jacob BannarbieF | 25 | 9.7 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 8+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Devin VanterpoolG | 24 | 14.9 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Ryan MelaG | 21 | 9.7 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 48% to play · 10+ pts 46% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Leonardo MarangonF | 19 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 36% | |||||
| Elijah SaundersF | 15 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ryan Mela (24 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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