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Probable Stats / Women's / Friday, November 13

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American at Delaware St

Women's · Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:00 AM ET at Memorial Hall (DE). American our rank 292 · 0-1; Delaware St our rank 357 · 1-3.

Who will win American vs Delaware St?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives American University a 77% chance to beat Delaware State, with a projected score of American 71, Delaware St 61.

To winAmerican 77%Delaware St 23%
Projected score71–61American, then Delaware St
Margin9.6American · no line posted
Total131.9no line posted
First half34–29American ahead 70%
American by 40by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10Delaware St by 20Model: American by 9.6American by 40by 20EvenDelaware St by 20Model: American by 9.6

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
American
DriscollG · 31 min18.53.33.320+ 41%
VišnjevacG · 30 min11.44.73.310+ 58%
WrightF · 28 min10.96.41.410+ 55%
KoepkeF · 24 min10.46.62.210+ 52%
Delaware St
PeppG · 32 min10.74.42.410+ 53%
GeigerF · 26 min9.87.31.010+ 47%
KempG · 26 min8.63.51.810+ 38%
ScottG · 15 min8.61.11.010+ 38%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    American 0-1L

    1. Nov 5L 65-75at Georgetown
    Last 1
    0–1, scoring 65.0 and allowing 75.0

    Delaware St 1-3LWLL

    1. Nov 10L 51-129at Pitt
    2. Nov 8L 53-69at Robert Morris
    3. Nov 4W 80-75vs Georgian Court
    4. Nov 2L 47-84at Georgetown
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 57.8 and allowing 89.2

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    AmericanDelaware St
    Points scored per 100 possessions86.0 254th74.7 355th
    Points allowed per 100101.9 324th105.6 353rd
    Possessions a game71.1 272nd73.1 92nd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.3% 80th45.7% 159th
    Opponents' shooting43.8% 74th48.5% 330th
    Turnovers, share of possessions24.0% 227th29.6% 359th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses33.3% 154th31.1% 273rd
    Free throws per shot0.22 101st0.22 112th

    The widest gap: American's offense (254th) against Delaware St's defense (353rd), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    American 34, Delaware St 29
    First-half margin
    American by 5.5
    First-half points, both teams
    62.5
    Projected second half
    American 37, Delaware St 33
    Second-half points, both teams
    69.4
    Tied at the half
    4%
    American, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 1 · 30.0 scored, 46.0 allowed
    Delaware St, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 4 · 28.2 scored, 46.8 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    American

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Molly DriscollG3118.53.33.32.1
    20+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 56%
    Nina VišnjevacG3011.44.73.31.9
    10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 51%
    Lauren WrightF2810.96.41.40.9
    10+ pts 55% · 7+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 54%
    Madisyn Moore-NicholsonG249.82.91.41.1
    10+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 59%
    Grace KoepkeF2410.46.62.20.4
    10+ pts 52% · 7+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 62%
    Kayla GreyvensteynG193.22.51.70.8
    5+ pts 27% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 51%
    Lexi SalazarG162.51.52.50.6
    5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 45%
    Elizabeth ArcherG164.03.50.60.5
    5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 36%

    Delaware St

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Skye PeppG3210.74.42.40.6
    10+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 45%
    Skylah KempG268.63.51.81.1
    10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 50%
    Anise GeigerF269.87.31.00.0
    10+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 25%
    Maya McCorkleG254.42.90.80.5
    5+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 36%
    Mahogany CottinghamG206.11.61.30.8
    5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 50%
    Jaida HelmG173.42.10.80.5
    5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 37%
    Autumn SimonF163.32.90.80.1
    5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 20%
    Amya ScottG158.61.11.00.3
    54% to play · 10+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 29% · 2+ ast 26%

    Missed the last game: Amya Scott (16 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Fri, Nov 13

    All games
    1. 12 PMprojected 69-73Troy at Belmont, women's: game page
    2. 7 PMprojected 51-66Auburn at Texas Tech, women's: game page
    3. 7:30 PMprojected 60-72Marquette at Missouri St, women's: game page
    4. 8 PMprojected 71-69Gonzaga at Grand Canyon, women's: game page
    5. 8:30 PMprojected 73-68Utah at Boise St, women's: game page
    6. 10 PMprojected 70-74Stanford at Santa Clara, women's: game page
    American next: at Delaware, Sun, Nov 15 · 43%Delaware St next: at NJIT, Wed, Nov 18 · 1%American: schedule and oddsDelaware St: schedule and odds