Who will win American vs Delaware?
The model gives Delaware a 57% chance to beat American University, with a projected score of Delaware 67, American 65.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Delaware | |||||
| KolliegboG · 30 min | 12.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 10+ 64% | |
| UlysseF · 21 min | 10.2 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 50% | |
| AndrewsF · 24 min | 8.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 10+ 35% | |
| RychteckaF · 24 min | 6.6 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 5+ 61% | |
 American | |||||
| DriscollG · 32 min | 17.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 20+ 37% | |
| VišnjevacG · 31 min | 10.9 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 10+ 55% | |
| WrightF · 29 min | 10.4 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 10+ 51% | |
| KoepkeF · 24 min | 9.9 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
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Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| American | Delaware | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.0 254th | 82.3 289th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.9 324th | 100.4 307th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 272nd | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.3% 80th | 44.1% 269th |
| Opponents' shooting | 43.8% 74th | 49.3% 351st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 24.0% 227th | 26.3% 330th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.3% 154th | 35.4% 61st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 101st | 0.22 152nd |
The widest gap: American's offense (254th) against Delaware's defense (307th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- American 31, Delaware 32
- First-half margin
- Delaware by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.5
- Projected second half
- American 34, Delaware 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- American, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 1 · 30.0 scored, 46.0 allowed
- Delaware, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 21.0 scored, 46.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
American
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly DriscollG | 32 | 17.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 3+ ast 55% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Nina VišnjevacG | 31 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Lauren WrightF | 29 | 10.4 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Madisyn Moore-NicholsonG | 25 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Grace KoepkeF | 24 | 9.9 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Kayla GreyvensteynG | 19 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ ast 42% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Lexi SalazarG | 16 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Elizabeth ArcherG | 15 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Delaware
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safi KolliegboG | 30 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Ava AndrewsF | 24 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ema RychteckaF | 24 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Frances UlysseF | 21 | 10.2 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Kendall ScottG | 20 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Sanyiah LittlejohnG | 17 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Jordyn ColemanF | 14 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 4+ reb 46% | |||||
| Regina DonanuG | 14 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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