Who will win Richmond vs Delaware?
The model gives Richmond a 92% chance to beat Delaware, with a projected score of Richmond 76, Delaware 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Richmond | |||||
| SweeneyG · 35 min | 15.2 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 15+ 50% | |
| ScottG · 32 min | 13.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 15+ 39% | |
| PersichettiG · 32 min | 10.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 10+ 52% | |
| IharaF · 26 min | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 10+ 42% | |
 Delaware | |||||
| KolliegboG · 28 min | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 52% | |
| UlysseF · 21 min | 9.1 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 10+ 41% | |
| AndrewsF · 23 min | 7.2 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 5+ 67% | |
| RychteckaF · 23 min | 5.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 5+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Ally Sweeney: Richmond 86%Delaware 14%
The white mark is the call with her: Richmond 92%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Richmond without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | ||||
| Ally Sweeney | 3.9 | 86% | −6 | 74–61 |
| Ava Persichetti | 2.7 | 88% | −4 | 75–60 |
| Aneisha Scott | 2.6 | 88% | −4 | 75–60 |
| Rayne Wright | 1.4 | 90% | −2 | 76–60 |
Change is in Richmond's win chance, in points. Scores read Richmond, then Delaware. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Richmond 2-2WLLW
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 72.5 and allowing 69.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Richmond | Delaware | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.6 54th | 82.3 289th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 93.8 169th | 100.4 307th |
| Possessions a game | 69.8 345th | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.5% 31st | 44.1% 269th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.5% 298th | 49.3% 351st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.9% 123rd | 26.3% 330th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.4% 305th | 35.4% 61st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 268th | 0.22 152nd |
The widest gap: Richmond's offense (54th) against Delaware's defense (307th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Richmond 37, Delaware 27
- First-half margin
- Richmond by 9.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.3
- Projected second half
- Richmond 39, Delaware 32
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Richmond, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 36.2 scored, 34.0 allowed
- Delaware, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 21.0 scored, 46.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Richmond
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ally SweeneyG | 35 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 53% · 4+ ast 52% | |||||
| Ava PersichettiG | 32 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Aneisha ScottG | 32 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Arisa IharaF | 26 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Josie FontanaF | 26 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Rayne WrightG | 14 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Emma SchoenG | 12 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Shaneka CampbellF | 11 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2+ reb 53% | |||||
Delaware
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safi KolliegboG | 28 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Ava AndrewsF | 23 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Ema RychteckaF | 23 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Frances UlysseF | 21 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Kendall ScottG | 20 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Sanyiah LittlejohnG | 17 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Jordyn ColemanF | 15 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 4+ reb 42% | |||||
| Regina DonanuG | 15 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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