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Delaware St at NJIT

Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center. Delaware St our rank 357 · 1-3; NJIT our rank 177 · 4-0.

Who will win Delaware St vs NJIT?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives NJIT a 99% chance to beat Delaware State, with a projected score of NJIT 76, Delaware St 50.

To winNJIT 99%Delaware St 1%
Projected score50–76Delaware St, then NJIT
Margin26.7NJIT · no line posted
Total126.0no line posted
First half22–38NJIT ahead 92%
Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40by 50NJIT by 60Model: NJIT by 26.7Evenby 20by 40NJIT by 60Model: NJIT by 26.7

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
NJIT
GingrichG · 29 min15.42.82.115+ 51%
LocklearF · 26 min10.19.01.610+ 49%
GestosaniG · 26 min7.52.50.95+ 69%
EngelbyG · 27 min6.83.00.55+ 63%
Delaware St
PeppG · 30 min8.53.61.810+ 37%
GeigerF · 25 min8.06.10.710+ 33%
ScottG · 15 min7.61.00.85+ 70%
KempG · 25 min7.02.91.35+ 65%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Ava Locklear: Delaware St 2%NJIT 98%

The white mark is the call with her: NJIT 99%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsNJIT without herChangeProjected score
NJIT
Ava Locklear2.098%−151–75
Allison Cannon1.498%−150–76
Marissa Gingrich1.498%−150–76

Change is in NJIT's win chance, in points. Scores read Delaware St, then NJIT. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Delaware St 1-3LWLL

    1. Nov 10L 51-129at Pitt
    2. Nov 8L 53-69at Robert Morris
    3. Nov 4W 80-75vs Georgian Court
    4. Nov 2L 47-84at Georgetown
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 57.8 and allowing 89.2

    NJIT 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 11W 64-60at Lafayette
    2. Nov 8W 67-63at Marist
    3. Nov 5W 57-35vs Merrimack
    4. Nov 2W 50-45vs Rider
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 59.5 and allowing 50.8

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Delaware StNJIT
    Points scored per 100 possessions74.7 355th87.6 226th
    Points allowed per 100105.6 353rd91.6 127th
    Possessions a game73.1 92nd71.3 251st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.7% 159th44.4% 256th
    Opponents' shooting48.5% 330th41.0% 11th
    Turnovers, share of possessions29.6% 359th23.2% 152nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.1% 273rd29.9% 320th
    Free throws per shot0.22 112th0.23 85th

    The widest gap: NJIT's defense (127th) against Delaware St's offense (355th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Delaware St 22, NJIT 38
    First-half margin
    NJIT by 15.4
    First-half points, both teams
    59.7
    Projected second half
    Delaware St 27, NJIT 39
    Second-half points, both teams
    66.3
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Delaware St, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 4 · 28.2 scored, 46.8 allowed
    NJIT, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 29.5 scored, 26.8 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Delaware St

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Skye PeppG308.53.61.80.5
    10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 51%
    Skylah KempG257.02.91.30.9
    5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55%
    Anise GeigerF258.06.10.70.0
    10+ pts 33% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 18%
    Maya McCorkleG243.62.40.60.4
    5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 31%
    Mahogany CottinghamG205.21.31.00.7
    5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 45%
    Jaida HelmG183.01.90.60.4
    5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 34%
    Autumn SimonF172.92.60.70.1
    5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 15%
    Amya ScottG157.61.00.80.3
    54% to play · 5+ pts 70% · 2+ reb 26% · 1+ threes 23%

    Missed the last game: Amya Scott (16 min a game).

    NJIT

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Marissa GingrichG2915.42.82.12.2
    15+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 57%
    Piper EngelbyG276.83.00.51.3
    5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 36%
    Ava LocklearF2610.19.01.60.8
    10+ pts 49% · 9+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 50%
    Madilyn DogsG264.46.01.60.2
    5+ pts 40% · 6+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 46%
    Mia GestosaniG267.52.50.90.9
    5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 56%
    Mackenzie Wright-RawlsF184.23.61.60.0
    5+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 45%
    Kate DonovanG164.93.21.30.3
    5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 35%
    Olivia O'MeallyF132.62.20.80.1
    5+ pts 21% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 19%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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