Sacred Heart at Stony Brook
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Stony Brook Arena. Sacred Heart our rank 307 · 1-2; Stony Brook our rank 208 · 3-0.
Who will win Sacred Heart vs Stony Brook?
The model gives Stony Brook a 81% chance to beat Sacred Heart, with a projected score of Stony Brook 65, Sacred Heart 53.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stony Brook | |||||
| LittleG · 28 min | 11.2 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| FrostF · 26 min | 6.5 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 5+ 61% | |
| PhilpottsG · 26 min | 6.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 5+ 60% | |
| CookG · 23 min | 6.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5+ 59% | |
| Sacred Heart | |||||
| NascimentoG · 26 min | 9.5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 10+ 45% | |
| DudleyF · 26 min | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10+ 43% | |
| KirbyC · 23 min | 7.5 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 5+ 69% | |
| KieferF · 21 min | 7.0 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Awa Fane: Sacred Heart 21%Stony Brook 79%
The white mark is the call with her: Stony Brook 81%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Stony Brook without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stony Brook | ||||
| Awa Fane | 0.9 | 79% | −2 | 54–64 |
| Raiane Dias Dos Santos | 0.7 | 79% | −2 | 54–64 |
Change is in Stony Brook's win chance, in points. Scores read Sacred Heart, then Stony Brook. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Sacred Heart 1-2LWL
- Nov 11L 46-61vs Northeastern
- Nov 6W 71-47vs Mercy
- Nov 3L 48-75at Syracuse
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 55.0 and allowing 61.0
Stony Brook 3-0WWW
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 73.7 and allowing 47.3
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Sacred Heart | Stony Brook | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.5 327th | 87.9 222nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.5 229th | 96.1 220th |
| Possessions a game | 70.6 312th | 69.5 352nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.5% 347th | 47.8% 56th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.4% 172nd | 43.1% 48th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.3% 292nd | 21.1% 21st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 176th | 33.0% 167th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 239th | 0.23 71st |
The widest gap: Stony Brook's defense (220th) against Sacred Heart's offense (327th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Sacred Heart 25, Stony Brook 31
- First-half margin
- Stony Brook by 6.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 55.9
- Projected second half
- Sacred Heart 29, Stony Brook 33
- Second-half points, both teams
- 62.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Sacred Heart, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 35.3 allowed
- Stony Brook, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 35.7 scored, 22.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Sacred Heart
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordanna SchreckerG | 26 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Sophie NascimentoG | 26 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Nalyce DudleyF | 26 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Emma KirbyC | 23 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Angelina HodgensG | 22 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Oralye KieferF | 21 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Missy NukuG | 20 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 37% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Taia McMechanG | 17 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
Stony Brook
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel LittleG | 28 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Caitlin FrostF | 26 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 7+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Leah PhilpottsG | 26 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Jada CookG | 23 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Johanna PotterF | 22 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 56% | |||||
| Alex BrownF | 20 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Raiane Dias Dos SantosG | 18 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Irene Rey PinedaG | 16 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…